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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465lopezmartinRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3354, n=7827)63% (10–6, n=16)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)50% (19560–19625, n=39185)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$46K$14.8M$3.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #546PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus72% (18 of 25 open)no open consensus position63% (129 of 206 open)67% (80 of 119 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 16 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)25% (won 25% of 4)10% (won 57% of 2538)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)19% (won 33% of 3)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)31% (won 60% of 5)36% (won 99% of 9017)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)25% (won 100% of 4)33% (won 100% of 8250)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

34 on the same side, 36 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465lopezmartinRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $21K
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
opposite sides · consensus Laura Samson
Laura Samson $5.4K—Carole Monnet $9.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $382Under $7.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $3.1KNo $3.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.4KUnder $3.2K
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $4.5KUnder $753
West Ham United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $4.2KUnder $721
Frosinone Calcio vs. Venezia FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.4KUnder $2.3K
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-09-09?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $676No $2.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $2.6K
FC København vs. AC Horsens: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.1KUnder $154
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $223
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $3Under $1.9K
CA Rosario Central vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $535Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $35Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.3KYes $36
CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $742Yes $155
Oregon State vs. Houston: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $686Under $9
St Mirren FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $3No $689
Moreirense FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $509Under $76
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $357—Under $157—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $162No $288
Bratislava 2: Lukas Pokorny vs Toby Samuel
opposite sides · consensus Toby Samuel
——Toby Samuel $434Lukas Pokorny $4
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $347
Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club
——Al Ahli Saudi Club $8Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club $250
Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $13Under $240
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $148Under $98
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $90No $139
AZ vs. Willem II Tilburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $4Under $161
OGC Nice vs. Le Mans FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $133No $20
Will Lyn 1896 FK win on 2026-09-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $3No $134
Will Central Espanol FC vs. Defensor Sporting end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $84Yes $40
Stevenage FC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $76Under $36
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $28Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $20Over $5
Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $268K—No $6.3K—
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $265K—No $6.5K—
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
No $86K—No $4.4K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Matteo Berrettini
Matteo Berrettini $22K—Matteo Berrettini $12K—
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $11K—No $5.3K—
Will Virtus Entella win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $5.6KNo $310
Will El Gouna SC win on 2026-09-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.1KNo $3.1K
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sevilla FC
——Sevilla FC $983Sevilla FC $3.4K
Spread: Steelers (-14.5)
same side · consensus Browns
——Browns $4.2KBrowns $65
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $155—Under $2.7K—
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.5KUnder $841
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $26No $2.3K
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.1KNo $101
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $931