← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | juice-fruit | Multicoloured-Serf | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (41–47, n=88) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 25% (14–42, n=56) | 67% (354–171, n=525) |
| Consensus PnL | -$411K | $152K | -$478K | -$102K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #32 | PM monthly #15 | PM monthly #43 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (14 of 24 open) | no open consensus position | 59% (27 of 46 open) | 56% (59 of 105 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 48 at avg 59¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 183 at avg 52¢, ROI +50% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 2% (won 100% of 1) | 2% (won 100% of 4) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 25% (won 100% of 12) | 48% (won 100% of 88) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 44% (won 100% of 21) | 42% (won 100% of 77) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 29% (won 100% of 14) | 8% (won 100% of 14) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
15 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | juice-fruit | Multicoloured-Serf | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks vs. Knicks opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Bucks $8.5K | — | Bucks $1.1K | Knicks $4.0K |
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) same side · consensus Celtics | 76ers $3.9K | — | 76ers $3.0K | 76ers $198 |
| Western Michigan vs. Akron opposite sides · consensus Western Michigan | Akron $10K | — | Western Michigan $27K | — |
| Spread: Heat (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $19K | — | Heat $6.8K | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | Bucks $18K | — | — | Knicks $661 |
| Spread: Heat (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Jazz $19K | — | Heat $302 | — |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Kent State | Kent State $222 | — | Bowling Green $18K | — |
| Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $263 | Over $187 |
| Spread: Heat (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $32 | — | Heat $367 | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz same side · consensus Heat | Heat $41K | — | Heat $69K | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-15.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Bucks $1.2K | — | Bucks $45K | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-14.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Bucks $37K | — | — | Bucks $169 |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $15K | — | Magic $18K | — |
| Knoxville: Marcos Giron vs Maks Kasnikowski same side · consensus Marcos Giron | Marcos Giron $13K | — | — | Marcos Giron $13K |
| Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $21K | Under $90 |
| Spread: Celtics (-1.5) same side · consensus Celtics | 76ers $2 | — | 76ers $15K | — |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH): O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $14K | Over $413 |
| Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $5.0K | Under $9 |
| Spread: Knicks (-17.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Knicks $2.1K | — | — | Knicks $795 |
| Devils vs. Jets: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $2.2K | Under $331 |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-4.5) same side · consensus Bowling Green | — | — | Bowling Green $399 | Bowling Green $343 |
| Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 217.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $82 | Under $369 |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH) same side · consensus Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) $70 | — | — | Miami (OH) $317 |