Consensus PnL $195K · win rate 100% (192–0, n=192) · PM monthly #16 · holds 5 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$195.4K
Record
192W / 0L
Win Rate
100.0%
of 192 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1
Source
PM monthly #16
Record (90 d)
197/199 · 99%
Trades
123
Markets
310
Volume
$9.5M
Top consensus positions
5 in listed consensus markets · 4 of 5 on the consensus side (80%)- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?No $3.9K · now 43¢ · in at 40¢with the consensus (70% of 37)
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-03?No $993 · now 65¢ · in at 65¢with the consensus (42% of 13)
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)Aston Villa FC $579 · now 44¢ · in at 41¢against the consensus (FC Barcelona)
- CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5Under $411 · now 25¢ · in at 55¢with the consensus (67% of 21)
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Villarreal CF $28 · now 66¢ · in at 62¢with the consensus (62% of 14)
Specialties
178 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 52¢- Soccer
+49 pts
side won 100% of 53 · avg entry 51¢
ROI +51%
- NBA
+48 pts
side won 100% of 57 · avg entry 52¢
ROI +49%
- College Football
+49 pts
side won 100% of 44 · avg entry 51¢
ROI +50%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 47%(won 100% of 83)
- 50–70¢: 46%(won 100% of 82)
- 70¢ and up: 7%(won 100% of 13)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.