Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ifyoulovemendb1RN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)55% (309–251, n=560)65% (892–472, n=1364)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)50% (19440–19510, n=38950)
Consensus PnL$32K$4.6M$14.8M$3.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #609PM monthly #99PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus58% (19 of 33 open)78% (39 of 50 open)60% (74 of 123 open)58% (48 of 83 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tech +12 pts n=91, ROI +9%
  • Politics +8 pts n=32, ROI +3%
  • NFL +3 pts n=46, ROI −1%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicGeopolitics ±0 pts, n=86NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won51% of 495 at avg 48¢, ROI +1%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢38% (won 14% of 187)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 51% of 77)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 59% of 79)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 91% of 152)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 29 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketifyoulovemendb1RN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $382Under $7.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $3.1KNo $3.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.4KUnder $3.2K
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 1 - 0 Coventry City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $977Yes $3.3K
Frosinone Calcio vs. Venezia FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.4KUnder $2.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $2.6K
Exact Score: Everton FC 1 - 2 Manchester United FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.0KYes $872
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $223
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $35Under $1.5K
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AC Monza: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $58No $1.4K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.3KYes $36
Oregon State vs. Houston: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $686Under $9
St Mirren FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $3No $689
O/U 55.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $457Under $146
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $162No $288
FC Internazionale Milano leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $390Yes $3
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $347
Exact Score: Valencia CF 0 - 3 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $18Yes $310
Spread: CD Santa Clara (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus CD Santa Clara
——CD Santa Clara $244Rio Ave FC $81
Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $13Under $240
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $90No $139
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 3 - 0 Coventry City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $30No $157
OGC Nice vs. Le Mans FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $133No $20
Will Cesena FC vs. Mantova 1911 end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $28Yes $43
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $28Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $20Over $5
Will Virtus Entella vs. L.R. Vicenza end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $10Yes $5
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 1 - 1 Coventry City FC?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.8KNo $10K
Will Virtus Entella win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $5.6KNo $310
Spread: Steelers (-14.5)
same side · consensus Browns
——Browns $4.2KBrowns $65
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $26No $2.3K
Modena FC 2018 vs. US Avellino 1912: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $3Under $2.3K
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.1KNo $101
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $931
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.7KUnder $82
Spread: Nebraska (-23.5)
same side · consensus Ohio
——Ohio $1.6KOhio $87
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
——Falcons $1.6KFalcons $27
Orgryte IS vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $788Over $260
Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $783Under $10
Will Mantova 1911 win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $3No $357
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $70No $67
O/U 53.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $99Under $26
Hull City AFC vs. Aston Villa FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $94Over $14
Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 52.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $40Under $50
Will Odense BK vs. FC København end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $2Yes $71
Murray State vs. Middle Tennessee: O/U 58.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $23Under $10