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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026RN1S-Worksverifly
Record (consensus markets)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)75% (2542–853, n=3395)34% (143–279, n=422)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$14.9M$3.8M-$339K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #25 + pinnedPM monthly #53was PM monthly #874
Sides with the consensus70% (49 of 70 open)53% (38 of 72 open)80% (4 of 5 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Crypto −1 pts, n=46Esports −2 pts, n=408
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%35% of 413 at avg 36¢, ROI −4%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)32% (won 21% of 131)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)55% (won 41% of 227)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)13% (won 43% of 54)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)0% (won 0% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026RN1S-Worksverifly
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $2.2K—Bilibili Gaming $387KT1 $35
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus T1
Bilibili Gaming $5—T1 $751K—
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Texans $68KChargers $3.6K——
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $32KLakers $84——
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Celtics $28KBucks $116——
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Timberwolves $11KJazz $116——
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $8.4KOver $145——
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Chargers $2Texans $7.1K——
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
Patriots $2.6KPackers $522——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2KOver $1.7K——
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.5KUnder $116——
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.3KOver $187——
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Texans $10Chargers $55——
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $61KCoco Gauff $49K——
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $87KSeahawks $3.8K——
Packers vs. Patriots
same side · consensus Packers
Packers $86KPackers $4.4K——
Spread: Heat (-9.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $18KHeat $138——
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
Seahawks $2.8KSeahawks $10K——
Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
Seahawks $149Seahawks $7.5K——
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $2.2KSeahawks $4.1K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3KOver $360——
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nets
Nets $943Nets $144——
Raiders vs. 49ers
same side · consensus 49ers
Raiders $643Raiders $10——