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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1Pan9X
Record (consensus markets)43% (11761–15331, n=27092)55% (13298–10666, n=23964)63% (1101–635, n=1736)57% (10923–8271, n=19194)
Consensus PnL-$9.4M$1.4M$4.6M$19K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #109was PM monthly #979
Sides with the consensus63% (5 of 8 open)69% (90 of 130 open)71% (67 of 95 open)75% (46 of 61 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 1274 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)4% (won 100% of 45)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)13% (won 100% of 163)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)26% (won 100% of 329)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)58% (won 100% of 737)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1Pan9X
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert
opposite sides · consensus Ugo Humbert
Ugo Humbert $7.1KUgo Humbert $591—Adolfo Vallejo $10
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $148Yes $2.7K—No $243
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K—Under $55
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14K—Yes $67
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $81
Hersonissos 3: Oleksii Krutykh vs Oskari Paldanius
opposite sides · consensus Oskari Paldanius
Oleksii Krutykh $5Oskari Paldanius $2.8K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859—Over $233
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—No $41
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $956—Under $49
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491—No $116
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $412—Over $152
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $63
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Athletic Club $116
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $199—Over $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $95—Over $39
Bills vs. Vikings
opposite sides · consensus Bills
—Bills $76—Vikings $23
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $10—Under $85
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $22——No $20
Hersonissos 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev
same side · consensus Adrian Andreev
Adrian Andreev $12KAdrian Andreev $1.1K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.5K—No $46
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Under $106
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch
same side · consensus Tom Gentzsch
—Tom Gentzsch $2.5K—Tom Gentzsch $35
Cavaliers vs. Hornets
same side · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $1.8K—Cavaliers $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Over $52
Nuggets vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $1.1K—Rockets $54
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $837—No $59
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—No $596—No $9
Pacers vs. Mavericks
same side · consensus Pacers
—Mavericks $424—Mavericks $41
Counter-Strike: STATE vs TheChampionGG (BO3) - United21 Group C
same side · consensus STATE
—STATE $120—STATE $70
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Falcons
—Falcons $92—Falcons $33
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Holger Rune vs Zizou Bergs
same side · consensus Holger Rune
—Holger Rune $62—Holger Rune $8