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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788haveanedgeDOTxyzkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)54% (13–11, n=24)no settled market48% (473–506, n=979)55% (370–304, n=674)
Consensus PnL$590K$0$437K$436K
Tracked asPM monthly #37PM monthly #843PM monthly #21PM monthly #95
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position52% (35 of 67 open)51% (53 of 103 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 13 at avg 47¢, ROI +54%—100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 100% of 1)—6% (won 100% of 19)14% (won 33% of 73)
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 100% of 7)—37% (won 100% of 110)24% (won 56% of 125)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 100% of 4)—50% (won 100% of 150)43% (won 69% of 226)
Entries 70¢ and up8% (won 100% of 1)—7% (won 100% of 22)18% (won 98% of 96)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788haveanedgeDOTxyzkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
——Trail Blazers $27KKings $1.8K
Spread: Houston (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
——Colorado $3.2KHouston $5.8K
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $7.8KUnder $162
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
——Kings $5.5KTrail Blazers $1.9K
Spread: Houston (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
——Colorado $700Houston $4.5K
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
——Clippers $2.3KThunder $2.5K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2Over $4.7K
Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $847Over $344
Spread: UCLA (-10.5)
same side · consensus UCLA
——UCLA $24KUCLA $1.9K
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
——Clippers $3.5KClippers $14K
Predators vs. Golden Knights
same side · consensus Golden Knights
——Golden Knights $16KGolden Knights $103
Spread: Houston (-9.5)
same side · consensus Colorado
——Houston $793Houston $6.8K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $6.7KOver $425
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
——Thunder $6.7KThunder $59
Thunder vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Thunder
Clippers $5.7K——Clippers $875
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
——Thunder $465Thunder $11
Spread: Predators (-1.5)
same side · consensus Golden Knights
——Predators $3Predators $423
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $21Over $273
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $29Over $70
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $32Under $11
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. California Baptist Lancers
same side · consensus California Baptist Lancers
——Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions $18Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions $12