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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpl3t0ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)54% (33–28, n=61)65% (889–469, n=1358)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$43K$4.2M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #675PM monthly #96PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus62% (152 of 244 open)74% (14 of 19 open)73% (33 of 45 open)61% (115 of 187 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%52% of 88 at avg 48¢, ROI +11%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)28% (won 28% of 25)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)25% (won 36% of 22)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)25% (won 64% of 22)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)22% (won 89% of 19)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

41 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpl3t0ndb1RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K——Over $2.4K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $317——No $2.6K
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $194——No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $35
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Wizards $1.5K——Hawks $655
Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.1K——Over $462
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2K——Yes $9
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $486——No $529
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $852——Over $134
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $713——Over $268
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $658——Over $13
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Cavaliers $304——Thunder $308
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
Hawks $314——Wizards $96
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Grizzlies $260——Pacers $138
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $256——Grizzlies $118
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Lakers $27——Kings $255
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $231——Under $5
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Suns $124——Trail Blazers $98
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $123——Over $86
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $4.7K——76ers $240
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $3.4K——No $526
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $876——Over $1.0K
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.7K——Over $114
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5——Over $1.5K
Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $1.0K——No $460
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.1K——Under $382
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $42——No $1.3K
Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)
same side · consensus CA Mineiro
CA Mineiro $1.2K——CA Mineiro $65
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2K——Under $75
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $101——Under $1.1K
Will Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $406——No $742
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
Knicks $717——Knicks $356
Spread: Botafogo FR (-2.5)
same side · consensus CA Mineiro
CA Mineiro $903——CA Mineiro $9
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $703——Under $197
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751——Boluspor $44
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $642——Under $140
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $720——Under $20
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 214.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $527——Under $133
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $394——Raptors $253
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $367——Under $240
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Lakers $595——Lakers $3
Exact Score: São Paulo FC 0 - 1 SC Corinthians Paulista?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $291——Yes $156
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Pelicans $276——Pelicans $130
São Paulo FC leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $286——No $52
Will Puntarenas FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $292——No $3
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $239——Under $46
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $122——Timberwolves $155
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1