Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1xxNyx
Record (consensus markets)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)85% (1290–235, n=1525)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$5.6M$14.8M$89K
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #3PM monthly #30 + pinnedHand-picked
Sides with the consensus63% (170 of 269 open)no open consensus position61% (128 of 210 open)85% (46 of 54 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——Tech −1 pts, n=56
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%81% of 1874 at avg 79¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2538)13% (won 9% of 252)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5565)5% (won 51% of 90)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9017)6% (won 57% of 109)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8250)76% (won 97% of 1423)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

46 on the same side, 31 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1xxNyx
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.5K—
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
Eastern Michigan $343—Central Michigan $11K—
Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7.2K—Over $462—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.3K——Yes $559
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.4K—No $2.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.5K——No $771
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $317—No $2.6K—
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $973——Yes $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $35—
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.1K——Yes $915
Will CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $78——Yes $1.5K
Will Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $63——Yes $1.4K
Spread: Knicks (-28.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Bulls $1.3K—Knicks $149—
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.4K—Yes $9—
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.1K—No $124—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K—Yes $7—
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Knicks $982—Bulls $64—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $486—No $529—
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $839—Over $153—
Spread: Knicks (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Knicks $631—Bulls $11—
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Cavaliers $304—Thunder $308—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $317—Grizzlies $118—
Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $350—Under $41—
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Grizzlies $173—Pacers $190—
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Lakers $27—Kings $253—
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $224—Under $11—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Suns $124—Trail Blazers $98—
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $123—Over $86—
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $20—Pelicans $154—
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Nets $59—Hornets $35—
Costa do Sauipe: Gustavo Heide vs Juan Carlos Prado
same side · consensus Juan Carlos Prado
Juan Carlos Prado $1.7K—Juan Carlos Prado $15K—
Toledo vs. Sacramento State
same side · consensus Toledo
Sacramento State $219—Sacramento State $6.6K—
Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $4.9K—No $498—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $4.9K—76ers $240—
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $3.4K—No $533—
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.9K—Over $114—
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $873—Over $1.0K—
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.3K—Under $382—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5—Over $1.5K—
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $668—Under $736—
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
Knicks $1.0K—Knicks $356—
Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)
same side · consensus CA Mineiro
CA Mineiro $1.3K—CA Mineiro $65—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $42—No $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $101—Under $1.1K—
Will Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $433—No $742—
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $703—Under $364—
Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $898—Over $75—
Spread: Botafogo FR (-2.5)
same side · consensus CA Mineiro
CA Mineiro $923—CA Mineiro $9—
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Pelicans $712—Pelicans $130—