Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Hornets — but Nets won instead.

Spread: Hornets (-5.5)

Resolved Nets. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Hornets. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

8

Hornets 63%

Total Value

$1.1K

Combined PnL

-$273.47

Smart Money Signal

Hornets

5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Hornets0%

Nets100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Hornets5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,678

Combined PnL-$759.56

Nets3 traders

Total Value$1.1K

Total Shares1,136

Combined PnL+$486.09

Hornets — 63%Nets — 37%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR	Hornetsavg 44.2¢	$519.21	—	-$519.21	46% 1416-1675 (3091)
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872	Netsavg 57¢	$573.43	$1.0K	+$432.28	56% 7920-6245 (14165)
JU justaluckydudeCTR	Hornetsavg 54.2¢	$107.95	—	-$107.95	53% 11880-10404 (22284)
0X 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375CTR	Hornetsavg 41.9¢	$143.45	—	-$60.05	50% 4274-4238 (8512)
FL Flaznorp	Netsavg 50.2¢	$59.7	$100	+$40.3	51% 24452-23135 (47587)
RN1CTR<$100	Hornetsavg 44¢	$38.28	—	-$38.28	53% 60181-52537 (112718)
SL SlickRick123CTR<$100	Hornetsavg 46¢	$34.07	—	-$34.07	48% 5307-5802 (11109)
3C 0x3ca9...424a<$100	Netsavg 55¢	$16.5	$30	+$13.5	—

keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR

Invested

$519.21

Value

—

PnL

-$519.21

Record

46%

1416-1675 (3091)

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Invested

$573.43

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$432.28

Record

56%

7920-6245 (14165)

justaluckydudeCTR

Invested

$107.95

Value

—

PnL

-$107.95

Record

53%

11880-10404 (22284)

0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375CTR

Invested

$143.45

Value

—

PnL

-$60.05

Record

50%

4274-4238 (8512)

Invested

$59.7

Value

$100

PnL

+$40.3

Record

51%

24452-23135 (47587)

Invested

$38.28

Value

—

PnL

-$38.28

Record

53%

60181-52537 (112718)

SlickRick123CTR<$100

Invested

$34.07

Value

—

PnL

-$34.07

Record

48%

5307-5802 (11109)

0x3ca9...424a<$100

Invested

$16.5

Value

$30

PnL

+$13.5

Record

—

Smart Money Signal

Hornets

5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xcdb51238...bc3bae

Slug

nba-cha-bkn-2026-11-04-spread-away-5pt5

Traders in this Market

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Hornets — $0

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Nets — $1.0K

justaluckydude

Hornets — $0

0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375

Hornets — $0

Flaznorp

Nets — $100

RN1

Hornets — $0

SlickRick123

Hornets — $0

0x3ca9...424a

Nets — $30

Trade on Polymarket