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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpJamesBonder007primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)99% (128–1, n=129)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$37K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #1000PM monthly #52PM monthly #33 + pinned
Sides with the consensus66% (131 of 198 open)100% (9 of 9 open)50% (1 of 2 open)57% (33 of 58 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 126 at avg 99¢, ROI 0%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)0%5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)0%41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)0%49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)100% (won 100% of 126)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpJamesBonder007primmRN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu
Alexandra Eala $6.8K——Claire Liu $12K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.7K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Alexander Shevchenko
opposite sides · consensus Alexander Shevchenko
Alexander Shevchenko $1.8K——Jacob Fearnley $8.9K
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $8.4K——Yes $5
Ipswich Town FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7.2K——Over $586
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Ben Shelton $2.2K——Carlos Alcaraz $3.3K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Borna Gojo
opposite sides · consensus Borna Gojo
Borna Gojo $4.0K——Nikoloz Basilashvili $623
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613——Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $6
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.0K——No $12
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Elche CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2.5K——Under $152
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.4K——Over $987
Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.0K——Over $80
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475——Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $851——Yes $326
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $491——No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837——Yes $60
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272——No $11
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $80K——Yes $12K
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sunderland AFC
Sunderland AFC $41K——Sunderland AFC $4.7K
Will Çorum FK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $15K——No $12K
Will Elche CF win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $15K——No $6.8K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $9.8K——No $6.8K
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $9.2K——No $7.1K
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
Yes $7.1K——Yes $5.6K
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $9.6K——No $429
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5.5K——Over $712
Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $827——Under $1.4K
Spread: Bengals (-3.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
——Falcons $2.1KFalcons $69
Exact Score: Elche CF 0 - 0 Real Betis Balompié?
same side · consensus No
No $470——No $1.6K
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 1 - 3 Chelsea FC?
same side · consensus No
No $1.5K——No $21
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95——Under $1.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $721——Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173——Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $203——Under $41
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $51——Over $29