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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpHomeRunHazardiammillionaireZzzz87
Record (consensus markets)71% (2093–854, n=2947)54% (448–384, n=832)no settled market68% (86–41, n=127)
Consensus PnL$387K$332K—$305K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #9PM monthly #714was PM monthly #666
Sides with the consensus52% (165 of 319 open)64% (121 of 189 open)no open consensus position83% (5 of 6 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +31 pts n=47, ROI +29%
  • Esports +42 pts n=13, ROI +43%
  • Soccer +26 pts n=20, ROI +23%
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=381———
Settled positions, side won44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 212 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%—100% of 84 at avg 68¢, ROI +39%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 362)1% (won 100% of 2)—1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 43% of 192)32% (won 100% of 68)—15% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 103)60% (won 100% of 127)—37% (won 100% of 31)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 95% of 239)7% (won 100% of 15)—46% (won 100% of 39)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpHomeRunHazardiammillionaireZzzz87
Norway vs. Wales: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $957——Over $15K
Austria vs. Republic of Ireland: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.0K——No $1.2K
Tulane Green Wave vs. Akron Zips: O/U 155.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $13Under $983——
Romania vs. Poland: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $196——Over $248
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
Duke $356Miami (FL) $49——
Spread: Providence Friars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes
Colorado Buffaloes $209Providence Friars $4——
West Georgia Wolves vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 148.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $106Under $105——
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Nets $58Grizzlies $27——
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $78Over $3——
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
Pelicans $6.1KPelicans $16K——
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
Vikings $296Vikings $6.5K——
Kansas vs. West Virginia
same side · consensus West Virginia
Kansas $3Kansas $6.4K——
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K——
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
same side · consensus Denmark
Portugal $1.5K——Portugal $329
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $377Heat $1.0K——
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
Falcons $172Falcons $1.2K——
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Oklahoma State
Texas Tech $26Texas Tech $1.2K——
Bradley Braves vs. George Mason Patriots: O/U 130.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $278Over $929——
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $49Colts $1.1K——
Northwestern vs. Ohio State
same side · consensus Ohio State
Northwestern $218Northwestern $911——
UAB Blazers vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks: O/U 149.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $34Under $626——
Spread: Colorado State Rams (-8.5)
same side · consensus Colorado State Rams
Loyola Chicago Ramblers $36Loyola Chicago Ramblers $168——
Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D
same side · consensus 1win
1win $4——1win $153