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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpHawk.liveRN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)55% (293–239, n=532)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)no settled market
Consensus PnL$3.3M$19K$14.8M—
Tracked asPM monthly #16was PM monthly #998PM monthly #29 + pinned—
Sides with the consensus68% (182 of 266 open)100% (1 of 1 open)60% (109 of 181 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22Esports ±0 pts, n=512——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%56% of 518 at avg 56¢, ROI −3%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)23% (won 4% of 120)10% (won 57% of 2538)—
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)15% (won 28% of 79)22% (won 94% of 5565)—
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)25% (won 68% of 127)36% (won 99% of 9017)—
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)37% (won 92% of 192)33% (won 100% of 8250)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

42 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpHawk.liveRN1sainttroplay
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.5K—
Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus CR Flamengo
CR Flamengo $8.7K—Grêmio FBPA $89—
Will Club Guarani Asuncion win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.1K—Yes $1.5K—
Sportivo Ameliano vs. Club Guarani Asuncion: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $5.2K—Over $69—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $317—No $2.6K—
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro
opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
Gonzalo Bueno $1.2K—Eduardo Ribeiro $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $35—
M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon
opposite sides · consensus Maxwell McKennon
Maxwell McKennon $823—Mauricio Echazu $1.0K—
CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Over $375—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $486—No $529—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $713—Over $268—
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Wizards $220—Hawks $678—
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $213—No $677—
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $304—Thunder $273—
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
Hawks $237—Wizards $98—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $215—Grizzlies $118—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Suns $124—Trail Blazers $98—
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $123—Over $86—
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $32—Pacers $139—
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Lakers $27—Kings $129—
Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3—Over $149—
Exact Score: CR Flamengo 3 - 0 Grêmio FBPA?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $140—Yes $11—
Exact Score: CA Paranaense 2 - 0 CR Vasco da Gama?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $20—Yes $5—
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $16K—No $6.1K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
same side · consensus Arthur Fils
Arthur Fils $5.6K—Arthur Fils $11K—
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold
same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
Nishesh Basavareddy $4.7K—Nishesh Basavareddy $8.2K—
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.7K—Yes $5.3K—
Will CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $7.6K—No $765—
Will Metropolitanos FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $2.6K—No $2.6K—
Cali: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $1.4K—Bianca Andreescu $3.2K—
Villa Maria: Lucio Ratti vs Carlos Maria Zarate
same side · consensus Carlos Maria Zarate
Carlos Maria Zarate $638—Carlos Maria Zarate $3.7K—
Will Sportivo Ameliano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $2.3K—No $1.9K—
CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $3.8K—No $3—
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1K—No $2.2K—
Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Camilo Ugo Carabelli $589—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $2.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5—Over $1.5K—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $42—No $1.3K—
M25 Harlingen, TX: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Jordan Lee
same side · consensus Filip Jeff Planinsek
Filip Jeff Planinsek $26—Filip Jeff Planinsek $1.3K—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Under $75—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $101—Under $1.1K—
CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $968—Over $132—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $776—76ers $240—
CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $931—Over $52—
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $720—Over $165—
Exact Score: CR Flamengo 0 - 0 Grêmio FBPA?
same side · consensus No
No $428—No $352—
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra
same side · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
Solana Sierra $286—Solana Sierra $476—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $720—Under $20—
CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $572—Over $102—