Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BrokieFlaznorpndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (394–361, n=755)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)63% (1096–631, n=1727)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL$286K$4.1M$4.6M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #853PM monthly #9PM monthly #110PM monthly #25 + pinned
Sides with the consensus80% (49 of 61 open)70% (103 of 148 open)72% (71 of 98 open)57% (36 of 63 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicEconomy −6 pts, n=17Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won60% of 602 at avg 54¢, ROI +2%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢33% (won 13% of 198)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 54% of 70)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 77% of 87)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 95% of 247)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBrokieFlaznorpndb1RN1
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.9K—No $24K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $11K—Yes $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Cardinals $121—Seahawks $3.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859—Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
Will CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.5K—No $138
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Mavericks $499—Nets $144
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
Spread: Richmond Spiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Richmond Spiders
—Temple Owls $6—Richmond Spiders $271
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6—Over $29
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $6—Under $2
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $38K—No $3.4K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will CD Universidad de Concepción win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.0K—No $3.7K
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Lakers $5.1K—Lakers $38
Richmond Spiders vs. Temple Owls
same side · consensus Richmond Spiders
—Richmond Spiders $3.7K—Richmond Spiders $675
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4K—No $2.1K
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Lakers $3.0K—Lakers $466
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Lakers $2.6K—Lakers $81
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $612—Pistons $76
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $174—Lakers $466
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177—Under $41
North Dakota State Bison vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners
same side · consensus North Dakota State Bison
—Bakersfield Roadrunners $37—Bakersfield Roadrunners $150
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
—No $4—No $26