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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankomnibus-076daaRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)46% (555–663, n=1218)50% (15050–15076, n=30126)47% (13355–14864, n=28219)50% (19555–19619, n=39174)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$3.0M$14.8M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #57PM monthly #23 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus63% (19 of 30 open)60% (93 of 154 open)63% (29 of 46 open)65% (33 of 51 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2538)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)38% (won 95% of 4296)36% (won 99% of 9017)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8250)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

24 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankomnibus-076daaRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KOver $943Under $21K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $12KYes $2.2K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $382Under $7.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $3.1KNo $3.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.4KUnder $3.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $2.6K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $223
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $35Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.3KYes $36
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $10—No $1.2K
Will Buriram United win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $281Yes $912—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.0KYes $149——
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $68No $663—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $162No $288
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $347
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $90No $139
M25 Heraklion: Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Michael Wright
opposite sides · consensus Jeremy Gschwendtner
—Michael Wright $3Jeremy Gschwendtner $150—
UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $72—Over $10
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $20Over $5
Rolex Paris Masters: Quentin Halys vs Frances Tiafoe
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
—Quentin Halys $5.9KQuentin Halys $40K—
Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23?
same side · consensus No
—No $147—No $26K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22KYes $117——
Luanda: Suzan Lamens vs Kristina Kroitor
same side · consensus Suzan Lamens
—Suzan Lamens $231Suzan Lamens $22K—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $14KYes $1.4K——
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15KYes $215——
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $12KNo $562—
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
——No $3.3KNo $3.1K
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $65—Yes $6.0K
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.5KNo $3.3K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $41—Yes $4.0K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.6KYes $69——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $931
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $44Boluspor $1.5K
W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst
same side · consensus Deborah Chiesa
—Deborah Chiesa $18Deborah Chiesa $1.2K—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0KYes $59——
Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $584Under $38—
Taranto: Filippo Romano vs Peter Makk
same side · consensus Peter Makk
—Filippo Romano $275Filippo Romano $343—
UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $213—No $42
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $56Under $44
Buriram United leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $28Yes $52—
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28Yes $41——
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $38—Yes $3
Bratislava 2: Lukas Pokorny vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Lukas Pokorny
—Lukas Pokorny $5—Lukas Pokorny $4