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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankRN1UpTheBlueswhosay
Record (consensus markets)45% (571–700, n=1271)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)50% (19440–19510, n=38950)58% (1092–779, n=1871)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$14.8M$3.1M-$45K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #7PM monthly #678
Sides with the consensus47% (9 of 19 open)60% (69 of 115 open)58% (48 of 83 open)50% (4 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
  • NBA +3 pts n=287, ROI +2%
  • Soccer +2 pts n=63, ROI +1%
Weakest topic———Tennis −4 pts, n=686
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%58% of 2028 at avg 60¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)10% (won 57% of 2538)7% (won 99% of 2623)11% (won 16% of 228)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 100% of 7839)26% (won 36% of 531)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)36% (won 99% of 9017)22% (won 100% of 8452)28% (won 58% of 565)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)33% (won 100% of 8250)51% (won 100% of 19323)35% (won 88% of 704)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 29 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankRN1UpTheBlueswhosay
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.5KUnder $21K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $382Under $7.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3.1KNo $3.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.4KUnder $3.2K—
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 1 - 0 Coventry City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $977Yes $3.3K—
Frosinone Calcio vs. Venezia FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.4KUnder $2.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $7No $2.6K—
Exact Score: Everton FC 1 - 2 Manchester United FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.0KYes $872—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $223—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $35Under $1.5K—
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AC Monza: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $58No $1.4K—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.3KYes $36—
Oregon State vs. Houston: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $686Under $9—
St Mirren FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3No $689—
O/U 55.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $457Under $146—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $162No $288—
FC Internazionale Milano leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $390Yes $3—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $347—
Exact Score: Valencia CF 0 - 3 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $18Yes $310—
Spread: CD Santa Clara (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus CD Santa Clara
—CD Santa Clara $244Rio Ave FC $81—
Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $13Under $240—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $90No $139—
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 3 - 0 Coventry City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $30No $157—
OGC Nice vs. Le Mans FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $133No $20—
Will Cesena FC vs. Mantova 1911 end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $28Yes $43—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $28Under $12—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $20Over $5—
Will Virtus Entella vs. L.R. Vicenza end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $10Yes $5—
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 1 - 1 Coventry City FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.8KNo $10K—
Will Virtus Entella win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.6KNo $310—
Spread: Steelers (-14.5)
same side · consensus Browns
—Browns $4.2KBrowns $65—
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $26No $2.3K—
Modena FC 2018 vs. US Avellino 1912: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $3Under $2.3K—
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.1KNo $101—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.1KUnder $931—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.7KUnder $82—
Spread: Nebraska (-23.5)
same side · consensus Ohio
—Ohio $1.6KOhio $87—
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
—Falcons $1.6KFalcons $27—
Orgryte IS vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $788Over $260—
Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $783Under $10—
Will Mantova 1911 win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $3No $357—
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $70No $67—
O/U 53.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $99Under $26—
Hull City AFC vs. Aston Villa FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $94Over $14—
Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 52.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $40Under $50—
Will Odense BK vs. FC København end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $2Yes $71—
Murray State vs. Middle Tennessee: O/U 58.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $23Under $10—