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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | longliveapples | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 52% (7711–7000, n=14711) | 60% (424–287, n=711) | 48% (17936–19365, n=37301) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $4.1M | $19K | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #873 | PM monthly #27 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (37 of 42 open) | 66% (75 of 113 open) | 74% (46 of 62 open) | 50% (31 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | Esports −8 pts, n=25 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 343 at avg 47¢, ROI +12% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 26% (won 28% of 88) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 33% (won 46% of 112) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 19% (won 82% of 65) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 23% (won 94% of 78) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
12 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | longliveapples | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | Bulls $103K | 76ers $1.6K | — | 76ers $297 |
| Texans vs. Chargers opposite sides · consensus Texans | Chargers $294K | — | — | Texans $8.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | Pistons $4.0K | — | Lakers $84 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $859 | — | Over $3.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $446 | — | Under $1.4K |
| Spread: 76ers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | — | 76ers $979 | — | Bulls $404 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $873 | — | Yes $315 |
| Golden Knights vs. Sabres opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights | — | Sabres $156 | — | Golden Knights $971 |
| Spread: 76ers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | 76ers $1.1K | — | Bulls $3 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $471 | — | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | — | Yes $60 |
| Spread: 76ers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | Bulls $287 | — | — | 76ers $421 |
| Knoxville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux opposite sides · consensus Geoffrey Blancaneaux | — | Shunsuke Mitsui $68 | — | Geoffrey Blancaneaux $224 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $272 | — | No $11 |
| Spread: Richmond Spiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Richmond Spiders | — | Temple Owls $63 | — | Richmond Spiders $217 |
| Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $107 | — | Under $116 |
| Spread: Patriots (-3.5) same side · consensus Patriots | Packers $143K | — | — | Packers $489 |
| Packers vs. Patriots same side · consensus Packers | Packers $104K | — | — | Packers $4.0K |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula same side · consensus Coco Gauff | — | Coco Gauff $4.7K | — | Coco Gauff $35K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| Richmond Spiders vs. Temple Owls same side · consensus Richmond Spiders | — | Richmond Spiders $3.0K | — | Richmond Spiders $602 |
| Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | — | No $1.6K |
| Spread: 76ers (-14.5) same side · consensus Bulls | — | Bulls $1.8K | — | Bulls $23 |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | Boluspor $747 | — | Boluspor $44 |
| Spread: Pistons (-1.5) same side · consensus Pistons | — | Pistons $612 | — | Pistons $171 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | — | Under $20 |
| Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $381 | — | No $261 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |