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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorplocuspmRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (583–722, n=1305)52% (6585–6162, n=12747)17% (612–2921, n=3533)48% (14355–15860, n=30215)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$3.7M-$1.5M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #13was PM monthly #864PM monthly #26 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)70% (195 of 280 open)no open consensus position61% (28 of 46 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NHL +3 pts n=15, ROI −1%
  • Soccer +2 pts n=25, ROI −22%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL ±0 pts, n=70—
Settled positions, side won97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%13% of 1003 at avg 13¢, ROI 0%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)87% (won 1% of 876)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 206)16% (won 40% of 255)0% (won 40% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 204)16% (won 62% of 260)1% (won 67% of 9)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)11% (won 98% of 113)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

27 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorplocuspmRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $541—No $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $1.3K
Will Jiangxi Dingnan United win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.6K—Yes $71
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471—No $524
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $783—Yes $2
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandra Shubladze vs Claire Liu
same side · consensus Claire Liu
—Claire Liu $30K—Claire Liu $18K
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $20K—No $11K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.6K
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Yosuke Watanuki
same side · consensus Yosuke Watanuki
—Yosuke Watanuki $7.0K—Yosuke Watanuki $8.0K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $4.3K—Bianca Andreescu $8.3K
Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $8.3K—No $1.5K
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.8K—Under $43
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.2K—Under $496
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maria Sakkari vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
—Alexandra Eala $1.5K—Alexandra Eala $778
Ningbo Professional FC vs. Jiangxi Dingnan United: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.4K—Over $921
Shaanxi Union FC vs. Guangxi Hengchen FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.2K—Under $23
Will Changchun Yatai win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $861—No $1.2K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Will Ningbo Professional FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $518—No $1.2K
Guandong GZ-Power FC vs. Nanjing City: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $586—Over $997
Will Nanjing City win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.0K—No $376
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $104—Under $1.1K
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $505—Under $418
M25 Heraklion: Ioannis Xilas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly
same side · consensus Gilles Arnaud Bailly
—Gilles Arnaud Bailly $199—Gilles Arnaud Bailly $624
Will Dalian Kun City win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $271—No $495
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $358—Under $108
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177—Under $41
Shenzhen Juniors FC vs. Suzhou Dongwu: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $14—Under $44
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5—Under $40