Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpl..messiRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)57% (1110–846, n=1956)48% (17936–19365, n=37301)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M$84K$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #9was PM monthly #787PM monthly #27 + pinned
Sides with the consensus86% (37 of 43 open)69% (78 of 113 open)no open consensus position55% (35 of 64 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%63% of 1537 at avg 58¢, ROI +3%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)28% (won 12% of 436)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)10% (won 38% of 160)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)15% (won 75% of 225)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)47% (won 97% of 716)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpl..messiRN1
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Chargers $294K——Texans $8.5K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $103K76ers $1.6K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $4.0K—Lakers $84
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859—Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
Spread: Richmond Spiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Richmond Spiders
—Temple Owls $62—Richmond Spiders $207
Knoxville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
opposite sides · consensus Geoffrey Blancaneaux
—Shunsuke Mitsui $15—Geoffrey Blancaneaux $214
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $107—Under $116
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
same side · consensus Patriots
Packers $143K——Packers $489
Packers vs. Patriots
same side · consensus Packers
Packers $104K——Packers $4.0K
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
—Coco Gauff $4.8K—Coco Gauff $31K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $4.6K—Over $747
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.6K—Over $1.3K
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.1K—Over $318
Richmond Spiders vs. Temple Owls
same side · consensus Richmond Spiders
—Richmond Spiders $2.8K—Richmond Spiders $598
Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1K—No $1.6K
Spread: 76ers (-14.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $1.8K—Bulls $30
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.2K—Over $46
Spread: 76ers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $399—Bulls $410
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $747—Boluspor $44
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $612—Pistons $171
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $381—No $259
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1