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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1Strident-Urn-Nourishment
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)19% (9–39, n=48)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$4.1M$14.8M$4.8K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #10PM monthly #33 + pinnedPM monthly #935
Sides with the consensus89% (32 of 36 open)69% (128 of 186 open)61% (37 of 61 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Soccer −14 pts, n=41
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%19% of 47 at avg 30¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)57% (won 4% of 27)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)17% (won 13% of 8)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)13% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)13% (won 100% of 6)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

22 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1Strident-Urn-Nourishment
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K—
Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $13KNo $10—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613Over $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $6—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.8KOver $774—
Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.4KOver $64—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475Under $1.3K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $851Yes $326—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272No $11—
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $299KNo $36K—
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $79KYes $16K—
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $29KNo $26K—
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sunderland AFC
—Sunderland AFC $47KSunderland AFC $4.7K—
Will Çorum FK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $15KNo $12K—
Will Elche CF win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $18KNo $8.2K—
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $8.9K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
CD Universidad Católica vs. CD Limache: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $6.3KUnder $9.2K—
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $7.1KYes $5.6K—
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $10KNo $452—
Will FC Twente win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $5.1KNo $756—
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5.2KOver $660—
Exact Score: Elche CF 0 - 0 Real Betis Balompié?
same side · consensus No
—No $747No $1.6K—
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 1 - 3 Chelsea FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5KNo $21—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95Under $1.1K—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173Yes $240—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203Under $41—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51Over $29—
Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 2 - 2 Liverpool FC?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $38Yes $5—