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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpMadridTimeRN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)51% (797–781, n=1578)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M-$13K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #22PM monthly #726PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus61% (17 of 28 open)62% (149 of 241 open)51% (28 of 55 open)61% (113 of 186 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +48 pts n=71, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=369, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +21 pts n=32, ROI +21%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 501 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 100% of 26)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)17% (won 100% of 85)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)19% (won 100% of 94)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)59% (won 100% of 296)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

56 on the same side, 38 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpMadridTimeRN1
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $29KPelicans $26—Pelicans $136
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $17KPelicans $262—Pelicans $130
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.4KNo $11Yes $9
Will Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $391Yes $4No $742
Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $115Under $568Over $61
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Grizzlies $343Pacers $233—Grizzlies $118
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $550Over $54Over $13
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $236Under $172Under $5
São Paulo FC leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $286No $9No $52
Puntarenas FC vs. AD San Carlos: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $22Under $22Under $3
Puntarenas FC vs. AD San Carlos: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $23Under $10Under $1
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $330KPacers $3.0K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $12KNo $1.1K—
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $8.1KUnder $51—
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $5.8KNo $46—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $317—No $2.6K
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.8KNo $74—
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $194—No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $35
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Wizards $1.5K—Hawks $655
Club Universitario de Deportes vs. Sport Boys Association: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.1KUnder $3—
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.9KYes $35—
Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
——Eastern Michigan $1.4KCentral Michigan $394
Will AD San Carlos win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $829Yes $491
Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $748—Over $462
Spread: Toledo (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
——Sacramento State $13Toledo $1.1K
Will Cúcuta Deportivo FC win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $813Yes $335
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $7
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $41Over $1.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486—No $529
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $713—Over $268
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $795—Over $134
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Cavaliers $304—Thunder $308
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Grizzlies $305—Pacers $138
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
—Hawks $245—Wizards $96
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Lakers $27—Kings $255
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Suns $124—Trail Blazers $98
SC Corinthians Paulista leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $149No $15—
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $14No $7—
76ers vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $195KPistons $3.9K——
Jazz vs. Pelicans
same side · consensus Pelicans
Jazz $61KJazz $664——
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.3KNo $4.6K
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $944Pistons $2.2K——
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.8K—Over $114
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5—Over $1.5K
Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $996—No $460
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.0K—Under $382
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $42—No $1.3K