Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Eastern Michigan — but Central Michigan won instead.

Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5)

Resolved Central Michigan. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Eastern Michigan. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Eastern Michigan 67%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$15.1K

Combined PnL

$-62.2K

Smart Money Signal

Eastern Michigan

10 of 16 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Central Michigan100%

Eastern Michigan0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Eastern Michigan10 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares142,077

Combined PnL$-69.3K

Central Michigan6 traders

Total Value$15.1K

Total Shares15,088

Combined PnL+$7.1K

Eastern Michigan — 63%Central Michigan — 37%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
MU Multicoloured-SerfCTR	Eastern Michiganavg 49¢	$54.2K	—	$-54.2K	48% 306-333 (639)
PW Pwaddler	Central Michiganavg 50.1¢	$4.6K	$9.1K	+$4.5K	48% 434-464 (898)
LI lightotunnel35	Central Michiganavg 52¢	$4.4K	$4.4K	+$2.1K	59% 89-61 (150)
PR primmCTR	Eastern Michiganavg 48.1¢	$7.5K	—	$-7.5K	47% 1244-1422 (2666)
RN1	Central Michiganavg 53.3¢	$477.71	$895.54	+$417.83	53% 60181-52537 (112718)
NM NM-P	Central Michiganavg 52¢	$693	$700	+$7	40% 1398-2089 (3487)
HI hi774cCTR	Eastern Michiganavg 47¢	$3.1K	—	$-3.1K	50% 4971-4900 (9871)
0X 0x0A77exmmCTR	Eastern Michiganavg 48¢	$1.5K	—	$-1.5K	53% 2385-2076 (4461)
MA MadridTimeCTR	Eastern Michiganavg 47.7¢	$1.2K	—	$-1.2K	50% 1182-1169 (2351)
HO HomeRunHazardCTR	Eastern Michiganavg 50¢	$1.1K	—	$-1.1K	54% 18039-15168 (33207)
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872ARB<$100	Central Michiganavg 91¢	$98.5	$59.89	-$38.61	56% 7920-6245 (14165)
└ Central Michigan leg	Central Michiganavg 91¢	$54.5	$59.89	+$5.39
└ Eastern Michigan leg	Eastern Michiganavg 11¢	$44	—	-$44
GC GC-PCTR	Eastern Michiganavg 47¢	$329	—	-$329	39% 1400-2160 (3560)
TO topdogbigboi<$100	Central Michiganavg 55¢	$25.24	$45.89	+$20.65	47% 11225-12583 (23808)
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080CTR	Eastern Michiganavg 50¢	$200	—	-$200	51% 1831-1762 (3593)
tradecraftCTR	Eastern Michiganavg 34.6¢	$101.12	—	-$101.12	51% 6302-6067 (12369)
SE sentrioCTR<$100	Eastern Michiganavg 48¢	$2.4	—	-$2.4	50% 25577-25281 (50858)
VeryLucky888	Central Michiganavg 52¢	$722.88	$0	+$0	58% 45573-32987 (78560)