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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (587–850, n=1437)52% (6048–5641, n=11689)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$1.1M$3.7M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #124PM monthly #13PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)76% (88 of 116 open)66% (193 of 291 open)58% (53 of 91 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—MLB −1 pts, n=747Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%54% of 10582 at avg 51¢, ROI +4%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 18% of 1390)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)36% (won 46% of 3763)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)35% (won 61% of 3662)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)17% (won 86% of 1767)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

39 on the same side, 28 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSFlaznorpRN1
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $280KNo $326——
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $26KNo $4.8K——
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $16KYes $4.4K——
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $12KNo $4.8K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.7K
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $28No $11K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Chennai Open: Magda Linette vs Anastasia Zakharova
opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
——Anastasia Zakharova $478Magda Linette $3.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $613Over $3.3K
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.2KUnder $2.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $272No $1.9K
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $368Under $1.7K
Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $67Over $1.8K
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $57Yes $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $475Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $471No $524
Will Torino FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $451No $412
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $15Under $282
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $272No $11
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 0 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $151Yes $38
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $83Under $88
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $3No $140
Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $136Under $6
Wrexham AFC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $115Under $11
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $19Yes $50
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $7Over $8
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $409KNo $14K——
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $56KNo $26K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $25KYes $3.3K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.6K
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15KYes $811——
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $5.5KNo $8.7K
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $4.9KYes $7.8K——
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
——Bianca Andreescu $4.3KBianca Andreescu $8.4K
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.7KNo $9.2K
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $7.3KYes $1.6K
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $7.0KUnder $905
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $4.4KNo $69
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $3.8KNo $513
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $3.5KYes $63
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.5KYes $362——
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0KYes $1.8K——
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $612No $1.7K
Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $2.0KUnder $14
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Will FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $324No $1.3K
Will Manisa Futbol Kulubu win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $124No $1.5K
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $80Yes $1.6K——