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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BlackMamba08FlaznorpprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (99–119, n=218)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$12K$4.1M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #834PM monthly #10PM monthly #55PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus31% (16 of 52 open)66% (99 of 151 open)no open consensus position60% (18 of 30 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won39% of 54 at avg 23¢, ROI +11%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢63% (won 21% of 34)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 67% of 12)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 67% of 6)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 100% of 2)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBlackMamba08FlaznorpprimmRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
—Alexandra Eala $7.0K—Claire Liu $81
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $851—Yes $326
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $13——No $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $2Yes $814——
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $360No $328——
Exact Score: FK Livyi Bereh 0 - 0 FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $400No $176——
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $6Yes $561——
Will FK Kharkiv win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $244No $109——
Will UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4No $282——
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $7Under $117——
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4No $92——
Will UD Logroñés win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $7No $80——
Will FK LNZ Cherkasy win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $36No $7——
Will FK LNZ Cherkasy vs. FK Kharkiv end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $12No $18——
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-10-15?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1No $8——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $42Yes $2.1K——
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.5K—Under $29
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721—Under $20
Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $706—No $14
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
Will FK Kolos Kovalivka win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $228No $38——
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203—Under $41
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
same side · consensus No
No $4No $234——
Will CD Pamplona win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $92No $72——
Will CD Tarancón win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $4No $101——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51—Over $29
FK Obolon Kyiv vs. FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $19Under $12——