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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BABELCONSTEL | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 82% (314–69, n=383) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | -$551K | $3.3M | $4.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #314 | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #140 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 64% (155 of 244 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) | 61% (106 of 174 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −8 pts, n=15 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 90% of 723 at avg 80¢, ROI +9% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 3% of 29) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 69% of 42) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 79% of 103) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 76% (won 98% of 549) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
37 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BABELCONSTEL | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.4K | — | Over $2.4K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $317 | — | No $2.6K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno | — | Gonzalo Bueno $1.2K | — | Eduardo Ribeiro $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $35 |
| Sportivo Ameliano vs. Club Guarani Asuncion: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.9K | — | Over $84 |
| M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon opposite sides · consensus Maxwell McKennon | — | Maxwell McKennon $823 | — | Mauricio Echazu $1.0K |
| Will CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.3K | — | Yes $47 |
| CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.3K | — | Under $84 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $486 | — | No $529 |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $713 | — | Over $268 |
| CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $915 | — | Under $37 |
| Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $213 | — | No $677 |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | Wizards $220 | — | Hawks $426 |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | Cavaliers $304 | — | Thunder $273 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Pacers $215 | — | Grizzlies $118 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Suns $124 | — | Trail Blazers $98 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $123 | — | Over $86 |
| Spread: Hawks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Wizards | — | Hawks $31 | — | Wizards $89 |
| Villa Maria: Lucio Ratti vs Carlos Maria Zarate opposite sides · consensus Carlos Maria Zarate | — | Carlos Maria Zarate $21 | — | Lucio Ratti $18 |
| Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Justin Boulais same side · consensus Marcos Giron | — | Marcos Giron $6.1K | — | Marcos Giron $17K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac same side · consensus Arthur Fils | — | Arthur Fils $5.6K | — | Arthur Fils $11K |
| CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $14K | — | Under $1.1K |
| Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy | — | Nishesh Basavareddy $4.7K | — | Nishesh Basavareddy $8.2K |
| Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $8.5K | — | No $3.5K |
| Will Metropolitanos FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.4K | — | No $2.6K |
| M25 Harlingen, TX: Hiroki Sakagawa vs Max Wiskandt same side · consensus Max Wiskandt | — | Hiroki Sakagawa $2.2K | — | Hiroki Sakagawa $1.3K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli | — | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $277 | — | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $2.5K |
| Will Sportivo Ameliano win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.6K | — | No $257 |
| CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.0K | — | Over $664 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $5 | — | Over $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | — | No $42 | — | No $1.3K |
| M25 Harlingen, TX: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Jordan Lee same side · consensus Filip Jeff Planinsek | — | Filip Jeff Planinsek $26 | — | Filip Jeff Planinsek $1.3K |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | — | Under $75 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $101 | — | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) same side · consensus 76ers | — | 76ers $776 | — | 76ers $240 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $720 | — | Over $165 |
| CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $697 | — | Over $132 |
| Exact Score: CR Flamengo 0 - 0 Grêmio FBPA? same side · consensus No | — | No $428 | — | No $352 |
| Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra same side · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz | — | Solana Sierra $286 | — | Solana Sierra $476 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $720 | — | Under $20 |
| CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $642 | — | Under $57 |
| CR Flamengo leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $583 | — | No $72 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | — | Raptors $383 | — | Raptors $246 |
| CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $353 | — | Over $102 |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $40 | — | Under $371 |
| Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $172 | — | Under $120 |
| Spread: CR Flamengo (-3.5) same side · consensus Grêmio FBPA | — | CR Flamengo $278 | — | CR Flamengo $12 |
| FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $239 | — | Under $46 |