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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xfFFF6537Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)40% (476–709, n=1185)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)43% (10–13, n=23)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL$71K$4.1M$3.3M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #612PM monthly #16PM monthly #7PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (3 of 3 open)73% (82 of 112 open)no open consensus position67% (32 of 48 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +14 pts n=11, ROI −9%
  • NHL +8 pts n=16, ROI −5%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicCrypto −5 pts, n=117Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won41% of 189 at avg 44¢, ROI −5%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢34% (won 12% of 65)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢32% (won 28% of 60)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢18% (won 68% of 34)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 100% of 30)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xfFFF6537Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Penguins vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Ducks
Ducks $939Penguins $14—Ducks $3.5K
Heat vs. Kings
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $2.5KHeat $13K—Heat $31K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859—Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
Will Club León FC vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $928—No $519
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $859—Over $202
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6—Over $29
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
—Coco Gauff $17K—Coco Gauff $58K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
—Patrick Zahraj $5.9K—Patrick Zahraj $5.8K
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.1K—Over $2.9K
Club León FC vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.3K—Under $475
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $940—Over $758
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 233.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $928—Under $149
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $831—Under $2
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Kaylan Bigun
same side · consensus Giles Hussey
—Giles Hussey $370—Giles Hussey $24
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177—Under $41
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
—No $4—No $26