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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x82aad706e75a6cd9dac807109649a6ded01d2777-1794136139118Flaznorpnigiri99Zzzz87
Record (consensus markets)48% (12–13, n=25)71% (2093–854, n=2947)55% (392–321, n=713)68% (86–41, n=127)
Consensus PnL$31K$387K$426K$305K
Tracked asPM monthly #836PM monthly #13PM monthly #104was PM monthly #666
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position52% (150 of 288 open)46% (30 of 65 open)90% (9 of 10 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +14 pts n=284, ROI +13%
  • Soccer +18 pts n=63, ROI +28%
  • NBA +31 pts n=47, ROI +29%
  • Esports +42 pts n=13, ROI +43%
  • Soccer +26 pts n=20, ROI +23%
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%69% of 567 at avg 53¢, ROI +6%100% of 84 at avg 68¢, ROI +39%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 6% of 362)14% (won 37% of 79)1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—21% (won 43% of 192)24% (won 59% of 138)15% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 103)43% (won 72% of 243)37% (won 100% of 31)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 95% of 239)19% (won 98% of 107)46% (won 100% of 39)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x82aad706e75a6cd9dac807109649a6ded01d2777-1794136139118Flaznorpnigiri99Zzzz87
Norway vs. Wales: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $719—Over $15K
Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $8.1KYes $346—
Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.6KYes $1.3K—
Austria vs. Republic of Ireland: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—No $1.0K
China PR vs. Malaysia: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2—Over $1.3K
Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $905Yes $371—
Will China PR win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $214—Yes $612
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $435Over $11—
Romania vs. Poland: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $173—Over $239
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $103Under $74—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
—Taylor Fritz $9.4K—Taylor Fritz $219
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
same side · consensus Mavericks
——Mavericks $97Mavericks $6.6K
Will Hungary win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $2.5KYes $102—
Will Kyrgyz Republic win on 2026-11-13?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $854—Yes $373
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
same side · consensus Georgia Southern
—Georgia State $6Georgia State $520—
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $399Heat $47—
Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D
same side · consensus 1win
—1win $4—1win $153
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $3—
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Denmark?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $44Yes $3—
Will Malaysia win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $25—Yes $2