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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241FlaznorpRN1TheWindKnowsmyName
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (5928–5310, n=11238)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)70% (170–73, n=243)
Consensus PnL—$3.3M$14.8M-$96K
Tracked as—PM monthly #16PM monthly #29 + pinnedwas PM monthly #953
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position66% (170 of 256 open)60% (110 of 182 open)57% (139 of 244 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MMA +29 pts n=95, ROI +29%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%94% of 127 at avg 68¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)9% (won 64% of 11)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)17% (won 95% of 21)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)14% (won 94% of 18)
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)61% (won 99% of 77)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

40 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241FlaznorpRN1TheWindKnowsmyName
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4KOver $2.4K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $317No $2.6K—
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro
opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
—Gonzalo Bueno $1.2KEduardo Ribeiro $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $35—
CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.0KUnder $359—
Sportivo Ameliano vs. Club Guarani Asuncion: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.9KOver $84—
M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon
opposite sides · consensus Maxwell McKennon
—Maxwell McKennon $823Mauricio Echazu $1.0K—
CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.1KOver $375—
CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.3KUnder $93—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486No $529—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $713Over $268—
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Wizards $220Hawks $678—
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $213No $677—
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $304Thunder $273—
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
—Hawks $237Wizards $98—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $215Grizzlies $118—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Suns $124Trail Blazers $98—
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $123Over $86—
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $30Pacers $139—
Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $3Over $149—
Exact Score: CA Paranaense 1 - 2 CR Vasco da Gama?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $20Yes $10—
Exact Score: CA Paranaense 2 - 0 CR Vasco da Gama?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $20Yes $5—
Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Justin Boulais
same side · consensus Marcos Giron
—Marcos Giron $6.1KMarcos Giron $17K—
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $16KNo $5.9K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
same side · consensus Arthur Fils
—Arthur Fils $5.6KArthur Fils $11K—
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold
same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
—Nishesh Basavareddy $4.7KNishesh Basavareddy $8.2K—
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.4KYes $5.1K—
Will Metropolitanos FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.4KNo $2.6K—
Cali: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $1.1KBianca Andreescu $2.3K—
Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $522Camilo Ugo Carabelli $2.4K—
M25 Harlingen, TX: Hiroki Sakagawa vs Max Wiskandt
same side · consensus Hiroki Sakagawa
—Hiroki Sakagawa $2.0KHiroki Sakagawa $984—
Costa do Sauipe: Gustavo Heide vs Juan Carlos Prado
same side · consensus Juan Carlos Prado
—Juan Carlos Prado $206Juan Carlos Prado $2.3K—
Will CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5KNo $724—
Will Sportivo Ameliano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6KNo $257—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5Over $1.5K—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $42No $1.3K—
M25 Harlingen, TX: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Jordan Lee
same side · consensus Filip Jeff Planinsek
—Filip Jeff Planinsek $26Filip Jeff Planinsek $1.3K—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $75—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $101Under $1.1K—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $77676ers $240—
CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $931Over $52—
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $720Over $165—
CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $697Over $132—
CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $144Over $664—
Exact Score: CR Flamengo 0 - 0 Grêmio FBPA?
same side · consensus No
—No $428No $352—
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra
same side · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
—Solana Sierra $286Solana Sierra $476—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $720Under $20—
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $383Raptors $246—