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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465DavidShekelFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4474–3357, n=7831)68% (373–174, n=547)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$169K$3.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #133PM monthly #372PM monthly #22PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus59% (13 of 22 open)75% (3 of 4 open)66% (192 of 290 open)62% (133 of 216 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • F1 +21 pts n=92, ROI −12%
  • Soccer +13 pts n=256, ROI +4%
  • MMA +28 pts n=17, ROI +36%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134NFL −7 pts, n=17Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%77% of 543 at avg 63¢, ROI +3%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)24% (won 19% of 129)29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)6% (won 74% of 31)16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 90% of 86)17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)55% (won 99% of 297)38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

52 on the same side, 34 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465DavidShekelFlaznorpRN1
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
Central Michigan $486—Eastern Michigan $343Central Michigan $11K
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $194—Under $941Over $28
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $6.9K—Raptors $394Raptors $278
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $2.3K—No $1.8KNo $1.5K
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $248—Under $1.4KUnder $382
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.5K
Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $7.5KOver $462
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $2.5KNo $2.7K
Hawks vs. Wizards
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Wizards $1.6K—Hawks $3.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.4KOver $2.4K
Spread: Knicks (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Knicks $3.1K—Bulls $135—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $317No $2.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $35
Hornets vs. Nets
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Nets $46—Hornets $2.6K—
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $1.5KNo $124
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.5KYes $9
Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KOver $159
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $365——Under $889
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $984Over $153
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $7
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
——Knicks $981Bulls $64
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $486No $529
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $672Under $140
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
——Cavaliers $304Thunder $308
Spread: Knicks (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
——Knicks $543Bulls $11
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $296Over $255
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $495Over $44
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
——Pacers $300Grizzlies $118
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
——Grizzlies $211Pacers $190
Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $350Under $41
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $211Over $90
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
——Lakers $27Kings $253
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $217Under $11
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
——Suns $124Trail Blazers $98
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $123Over $86
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
——Jazz $20Pelicans $154
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
——Nets $57Hornets $35
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
Thunder $104K—Thunder $2.4K—
Costa do Sauipe: Gustavo Heide vs Juan Carlos Prado
same side · consensus Juan Carlos Prado
——Juan Carlos Prado $1.7KJuan Carlos Prado $15K
Spread: Central Michigan (-3.5)
same side · consensus Central Michigan
Central Michigan $11K——Central Michigan $476
Toledo vs. Sacramento State
same side · consensus Toledo
——Sacramento State $219Sacramento State $6.6K
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $3.3KUnder $2.7K
Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $4.9KNo $498
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
——76ers $5.2K76ers $240
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Pacers $4—Pacers $4.2K—
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $3.6KNo $533
Pacers vs. Grizzlies
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Pacers $2.3K—Pacers $137—
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
——Hawks $1.3KHawks $950
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $873Over $1.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $5Over $1.5K