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UnderOver
poshposhCTROver
RN1CTR<$100OverOver
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 7.5
Resolved Under. 25% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
4
Under 25%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$1.5K
Combined PnL
$1.67
Smart Money Signal
Under
1 of 4 top traders (25%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under1 trader
Total Value$1.4K
Total Shares1,425
Combined PnL+$191.39
Over3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,238
Combined PnL-$189.71
Under — 25%Over — 75%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Underavg 86.6¢ | $1.2K | $1.4K | +$191.39 | 51% 24452-23135 (47587) |
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100 | Overavg 9.5¢ | $87.72 | $41.66 | -$46.06 | 50% 27855-27713 (55568) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 88.5¢ | $36.88 | $41.66 | +$4.78 | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 9.5¢ | $50.84 | — | -$50.84 | |
poshposhCTR | Overavg 19.6¢ | $140.51 | — | -$140.51 | 57% 12394-9456 (21850) |
RN1CTR<$100 | Overavg 11¢ | $35.35 | — | -$35.35 | 53% 60181-52537 (112718) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Overavg 6.9¢ | $13.86 | — | -$13.86 | 47% 11225-12583 (23808) |
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$1,233.22
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$191.39
Record
51%
24452-23135 (47587)
GO
GoalLineGhostARB<$100Invested
$87.72
Value
$41.66
PnL
-$46.06
Record
50%
27855-27713 (55568)
Both legs:
Under$36.8888.5¢+$4.78
Over$50.849.5¢-$50.84
poshposhCTRInvested
$140.51
Value
—
PnL
-$140.51
Record
57%
12394-9456 (21850)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$35.35
Value
—
PnL
-$35.35
Record
53%
60181-52537 (112718)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$13.86
Value
—
PnL
-$13.86
Record
47%
11225-12583 (23808)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9934f1aa...4df43e
Slug
par1-oli-rec-2026-11-08-total-7pt5