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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872beachboy4BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)66% (2877–1511, n=4388)no settled market46% (560–667, n=1227)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$196K—$9.4M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #528—PM monthly #1PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus60% (76 of 126 open)no open consensus position59% (17 of 29 open)61% (129 of 210 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 1734 at avg 76¢, ROI +25%—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 100% of 58)—11% (won 80% of 61)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 100% of 159)—35% (won 98% of 203)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 100% of 361)—35% (won 100% of 201)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up67% (won 100% of 1156)—20% (won 100% of 115)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

23 on the same side, 33 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872beachboy4BreakTheBankRN1
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $599—Jazz $17KPelicans $130
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Pelicans $309—Jazz $283Pelicans $154
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
Grizzlies $21—Grizzlies $343Grizzlies $118
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Pacers $112—Grizzlies $330K—
76ers vs. Pistons
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
76ers $4.0K—Pistons $195K—
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
——Jazz $29KPelicans $136
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $326——Yes $3.1K
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
76ers $2.1K—Pistons $944—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $567——Over $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.1K——Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.1K——Over $35
Spread: Hawks (-19.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
Wizards $1.9K——Hawks $4
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $981——No $529
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $877——Under $382
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Wizards $305——Hawks $690
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Wizards $20——Hawks $950
Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $825——Over $31
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Knicks $774——Bulls $64
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $771——Over $57
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Athletic Club $760——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
Hawks $635——Wizards $69
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $269——Over $382
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $470——Under $140
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 207.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $584——Under $10
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Nets $460——Hornets $128
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Nets $503——Hornets $35
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $468——Over $28
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Grizzlies $178——Pacers $190
Spread: Knicks (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Knicks $354——Bulls $11
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 45.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $47——Over $265
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $6——Over $114
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $28——Over $90
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $74——Yes $7
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
same side · consensus Central Michigan
Central Michigan $905——Central Michigan $11K
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $2.1K—Celtics $8.6K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $1.3K——No $2.6K
Spread: Knicks (-28.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
Knicks $1.9K——Knicks $149
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $227——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $880——Under $889
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
Knicks $1.2K——Knicks $356
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $432——Under $1.1K
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 43.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $375——Over $671
Spread: Toledo (-17.5)
same side · consensus Sacramento State
Sacramento State $6——Sacramento State $797
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 214.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $555——Under $169
Spread: Central Michigan (-3.5)
same side · consensus Central Michigan
Central Michigan $183——Central Michigan $476
Spread: UMass (-4.5)
same side · consensus Ball State
UMass $108——UMass $481
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $430——Over $153
Spread: Toledo (-13.5)
same side · consensus Sacramento State
Toledo $14——Toledo $505
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $106——Under $310