Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
080526Flaznorpndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)97% (31–1, n=32)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)65% (889–469, n=1358)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$23K$3.3M$4.2M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #770PM monthly #22PM monthly #96PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus92% (12 of 13 open)66% (195 of 297 open)73% (33 of 45 open)60% (135 of 225 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won100% of 27 at avg 72¢, ROI +26%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 100% of 2)16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢44% (won 100% of 12)17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up48% (won 100% of 13)38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

56 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market080526Flaznorpndb1RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Will Club Guarani Asuncion win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $6.1K—Yes $4.8K
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $333—Central Michigan $5.9K
Sportivo Ameliano vs. Club Guarani Asuncion: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5.2K—Over $69
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $317—No $2.6K
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro
opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
—Gonzalo Bueno $1.2K—Eduardo Ribeiro $1.5K
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $196—No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $35
M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon
opposite sides · consensus Mauricio Echazu
—Maxwell McKennon $823—Mauricio Echazu $1.0K
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $11
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486—No $529
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $977—No $5
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $713—Over $268
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $811—Over $130
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Cavaliers $304—Thunder $273
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $557—Over $10
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $236—Grizzlies $118
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
—Hawks $237—Wizards $98
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Lakers $27—Kings $253
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $236—Under $4
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Suns $124—Trail Blazers $98
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $123—Over $86
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Grizzlies $32—Pacers $139
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $4—Pelicans $126
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
same side · consensus Arthur Fils
—Arthur Fils $5.6K—Arthur Fils $11K
Costa do Sauipe: Gustavo Heide vs Juan Carlos Prado
same side · consensus Juan Carlos Prado
—Juan Carlos Prado $834—Juan Carlos Prado $15K
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold
same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
—Nishesh Basavareddy $4.7K—Nishesh Basavareddy $8.2K
Will Metropolitanos FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.8K—No $2.6K
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $5.6K—Under $181
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $4.6K—76ers $240
Cali: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $1.4K—Bianca Andreescu $3.2K
Will Sportivo Ameliano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.5K—No $1.9K
Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $589—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $2.6K
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $1.3K—Hawks $678
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.7K—Over $114
Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $837—Yes $961
Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.0K—No $499
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.1K—Under $371
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5—Over $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $42—No $1.3K
M25 Harlingen, TX: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Jordan Lee
same side · consensus Filip Jeff Planinsek
—Filip Jeff Planinsek $26—Filip Jeff Planinsek $1.3K
Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)
same side · consensus CA Mineiro
—CA Mineiro $1.2K—CA Mineiro $48
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Under $75
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $101—Under $1.1K
Will Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $421—No $742
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $674—Under $197
Spread: Botafogo FR (-2.5)
same side · consensus CA Mineiro
—CA Mineiro $853—CA Mineiro $9
Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $684—Over $149