← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | NM-P | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (1014–591, n=1605) | 82% (5526–1224, n=6750) | 50% (1151–1158, n=2309) | 47% (14701–16266, n=30967) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.8M | $52K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #508 | PM monthly #47 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (63 of 87 open) | 68% (107 of 157 open) | 78% (7 of 9 open) | 58% (53 of 91 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 4135 at avg 68¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 6% (won 100% of 257) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 21% (won 100% of 860) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 21% (won 100% of 888) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 52% (won 100% of 2130) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
18 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.