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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
jeremyclarprimmRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)44% (47–60, n=107)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)50% (19558–19625, n=39183)
Consensus PnL$13K$3.6M$14.8M$3.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #871PM monthly #48PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus33% (1 of 3 open)60% (12 of 20 open)60% (127 of 210 open)69% (77 of 112 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNBA −2 pts, n=55———
Settled positions, side won45% of 105 at avg 48¢, ROI +3%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢69% (won 40% of 72)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 43% of 21)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up10% (won 90% of 10)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

29 on the same side, 43 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketjeremyclarprimmRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $21K
Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $8.7KCentral Michigan $802—
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $2.4KCentral Michigan $6.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $382Under $7.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $3.1KNo $3.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.4KUnder $3.2K
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $4.5KUnder $753
West Ham United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $4.2KUnder $721
Frosinone Calcio vs. Venezia FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.4KUnder $2.3K
Spread: Central Michigan (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Central Michigan $2.6KEastern Michigan $1.0K—
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-09-09?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $676No $2.9K
Spread: UMass (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $2.4KUMass $1.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $2.6K
FC København vs. AC Horsens: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.1KUnder $154
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $223
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $3Under $1.9K
CA Rosario Central vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $535Under $1.3K
Spread: Ball State (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus UMass
—UMass $1.6KBall State $191—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $35Under $1.5K
Spread: Toledo (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $589Sacramento State $797—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.3KYes $36
Spread: UMass (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $793UMass $481—
CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $742Yes $155
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $201Over $671—
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 45.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $462Over $265—
Oregon State vs. Houston: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $686Under $9
St Mirren FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $3No $689
Moreirense FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $509Under $76
Spread: Toledo (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $437Sacramento State $72—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $162No $288
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $347
Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club
——Al Ahli Saudi Club $8Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club $250
Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $13Under $240
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $148Under $98
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $90No $139
AZ vs. Willem II Tilburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $4Under $161
OGC Nice vs. Le Mans FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $133No $20
Will Lyn 1896 FK win on 2026-09-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $3No $134
Will Central Espanol FC vs. Defensor Sporting end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $84Yes $40
Stevenage FC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $76Under $36
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $28Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $20Over $5
Will Virtus Entella win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $5.6KNo $310
Will El Gouna SC win on 2026-09-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.1KNo $3.1K
Spread: Toledo (-13.5)
same side · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $4.3KToledo $505—
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sevilla FC
——Sevilla FC $983Sevilla FC $3.4K
Spread: Steelers (-14.5)
same side · consensus Browns
——Browns $4.2KBrowns $65
Spread: Ball State (-5.5)
same side · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $3.0KBall State $636—
Spread: Ball State (-4.5)
same side · consensus UMass
—UMass $40UMass $2.4K—