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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarlfantasy7788HomeRunHazardrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18googleplay
| guilttrip | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 86% (6–1, n=7) | 46% (385–445, n=830) | 54% (312–261, n=573) |
| Consensus PnL | $13K | $502K | $425K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #807 | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #135 |
| Sides with the consensus | 28% (27 of 96 open) | 70% (45 of 64 open) | 55% (50 of 91 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 7 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 280 at avg 51¢, ROI +44% | 65% of 504 at avg 53¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 0% of 2) | 6% (won 100% of 17) | 14% (won 32% of 72) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 38% (won 100% of 105) | 24% (won 55% of 121) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 57% (won 100% of 4) | 49% (won 100% of 137) | 44% (won 69% of 222) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 100% of 1) | 8% (won 100% of 21) | 18% (won 98% of 89) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | guilttrip | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Bianca Andreescu opposite sides · consensus Bianca Andreescu | — | Bianca Andreescu $21K | Polona Hercog $55 |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | — | Pacers $20K | Knicks $490 |
| Spread: Hawks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | Bulls $13K | Hawks $2.4K |
| Slovenia vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $10K | Over $674 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | — | Pelicans $7.6K | Grizzlies $200 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2 | — | No $4.8K |
| Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.6K | Over $597 |
| Serbia vs. Germany: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.2K | Under $482 |
| Spread: Knicks (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Knicks $397 | Pacers $21 |
| Will Kuwait vs. Syria end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3 | No $135 | — |
| Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $12K | Under $411 |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $11K | Over $148 |
| Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $5.4K | Over $1.9K |
| Netherlands vs. Greece: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $6.0K | Over $140 |
| Slovenia vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $3.7K | Over $528 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) same side · consensus Pelicans | — | Pelicans $3.4K | Pelicans $220 |
| Bulgaria vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $973 | Under $57 |
| Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $367 | Over $17 |
| Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $256 | Under $4 |