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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ce1lvc9ew66FlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)81% (129–30, n=159)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)48% (14148–15609, n=29757)50% (20605–20391, n=40996)
Consensus PnL$21K$3.6M$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #867PM monthly #11PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position76% (184 of 243 open)51% (35 of 68 open)69% (31 of 45 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicEsports −1 pts, n=144Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won30% of 152 at avg 30¢, ROI +1%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢52% (won 8% of 79)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)7% (won 99% of 2699)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 33% of 40)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)20% (won 100% of 7974)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 73% of 26)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)22% (won 100% of 8588)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 7)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)52% (won 100% of 20470)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

28 on the same side, 29 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketce1lvc9ew66FlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.6KUnder $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36Under $1.5K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475Under $1.3KUnder $64
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $139Yes $192No $249
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5KNo $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $104Under $1.1KUnder $960
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177Under $42Under $801
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
—Carlos Alcaraz $4.3KTaylor Fritz $2.1K—
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.0KUnder $64—
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $757
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $74
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471No $529—
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
—Diletta Cherubini $268Ipek Oz $680—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $596—Yes $154
Will Antalyaspor win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $333Yes $408—
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs. NK Rudeš: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $348Under $81—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Celtics $222Hornets $116—
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—76ers $188Cavaliers $108—
Costa do Sauipe: Juan Carlos Prado vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
opposite sides · consensus Juan Carlos Prado
—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $3Juan Carlos Prado $268—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $174
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $133—Yes $2
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $31No $12—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
Will Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $30Yes $3—
Spread: FC Energie Cottbus (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eintracht Braunschweig
—Eintracht Braunschweig $8FC Energie Cottbus $21—
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $19KNo $22K—
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.9KNo $15K—
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lucrezia Stefanini
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
—Anastasia Zakharova $4.7KAnastasia Zakharova $12K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $494—No $15K
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.5KOver $5.9K—
Will US Boulogne Côte d'Opale win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $953No $6.5K—
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.1KNo $2.5K—
Will Bursaspor win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6KNo $1.6K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6K—No $1.1K
Sariyer SK leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $942No $814—
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $383Over $1.2K—
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.1KUnder $444—
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
—Juan Bautista Torres $90Juan Bautista Torres $1.3K—
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Julia Riera
same side · consensus Julia Riera
—Julia Riera $64Julia Riera $1.1K—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—Yes $153
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $334—Under $749
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.0K—Over $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $361—Under $595