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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| capnjack1497 | Flaznorp | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 20% (9–35, n=44) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) | 50% (19558–19625, n=39183) |
| Consensus PnL | -$60K | $3.3M | $14.8M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #979 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #30 + pinned | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 63% (166 of 264 open) | 62% (127 of 206 open) | 69% (81 of 118 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 109 at avg 41¢, ROI +15% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 16% of 32) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 28% (won 40% of 30) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 43% (won 70% of 47) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
71 on the same side, 65 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | capnjack1497 | Flaznorp | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | Over $1.5K | Under $21K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.4K | Over $2.4K | Under $3.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $5 | Over $1.5K | Under $5.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | Over $35 | Under $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | Yes $7 | No $2.6K |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $713 | Over $268 | Under $2.7K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $42 | No $1.3K | Yes $36 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $720 | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $347 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $10 | Yes $162 | No $288 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $51 | Over $28 | Under $12 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $101 | Under $1.1K | Under $931 |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | Under $75 | Under $155 |
| Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $8.0K | Over $462 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $382 | Under $7.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $3.1K | No $3.9K |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $343 | Central Michigan $6.4K | — |
| Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $4.5K | Under $753 |
| West Ham United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $4.2K | Under $721 |
| Frosinone Calcio vs. Venezia FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.4K | Under $2.3K |
| Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-09-09? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $676 | No $2.9K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $317 | No $2.6K | — |
| Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $194 | No $2.5K | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | Wizards $1.6K | Hawks $655 | — |
| FC København vs. AC Horsens: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $2.1K | Under $154 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $223 |
| Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $3 | Under $1.9K |
| CA Rosario Central vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $535 | Under $1.3K |
| Spread: Knicks (-28.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | — | Bulls $1.2K | Knicks $149 | — |
| Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.3K | Yes $9 | — |
| Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.1K | No $124 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $420 | — | Under $762 |
| Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $928 | Over $134 | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | — | Knicks $977 | Bulls $64 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $486 | No $529 | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $990 | — | Yes $4 |
| CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $742 | Yes $155 |
| Oregon State vs. Houston: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $686 | Under $9 |
| St Mirren FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $3 | No $689 |
| São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $663 | Over $13 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Cavaliers $304 | Thunder $308 | — |
| Moreirense FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $509 | Under $76 |
| Spread: CD Tenerife (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus FC Andorra | — | FC Andorra $517 | — | CD Tenerife $45 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Pacers $284 | Grizzlies $118 | — |
| Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $350 | Under $41 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Grizzlies $246 | Pacers $138 | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Wizards | — | Hawks $271 | Wizards $96 | — |
| Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $23 | — | Yes $273 |
| Spread: CD Tenerife (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus FC Andorra | — | CD Tenerife $99 | — | FC Andorra $191 |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | Lakers $27 | Kings $255 | — |