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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
bot-rapinBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)100% (19–0, n=19)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)
Consensus PnL$56K$7.7M-$8.8M$4.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #509PM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #9
Sides with the consensus75% (12 of 16 open)88% (30 of 34 open)67% (42 of 63 open)69% (97 of 141 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic———Other Sports −28 pts, n=15
Settled positions, side won100% of 11 at avg 98¢, ROI +9%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)
Entries 30–50¢0%36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)
Entries 50–70¢0%35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)
Entries 70¢ and up100% (won 100% of 11)20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbot-rapinBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorp
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
——Seahawks $87KCardinals $121
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
——Pistons $32KLakers $6.1K
Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
——Nets $22KMavericks $402
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $19KOver $390
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $8.2KPistons $367
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $8.4KOver $116
Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $6.2K——No $208
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
——Kings $4.8KHeat $298
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $148Yes $2.7K
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
——Nets $943Mavericks $499
Exact Score: Al Fateh Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Riyadh Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $150——No $201
Exact Score: Al Faisaly Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Diraiyah Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $16——No $138
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22K——Yes $996
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KUnder $13K
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $3.7KUnder $738
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $3.1K——No $651
Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.7K——Yes $2
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KUnder $1.5K
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Texans
—Chargers $2.4KChargers $2—
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.9K——Yes $192
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $115Under $297