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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
bbcvvcbvFlaznorpMD14nigiri99
Record (consensus markets)86% (18–3, n=21)71% (2531–1028, n=3559)81% (22–5, n=27)55% (433–356, n=789)
Consensus PnL$23K$501K$328K$365K
Tracked asPM monthly #854PM monthly #13PM monthly #118PM monthly #137
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)47% (80 of 172 open)no open consensus position56% (104 of 186 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +20 pts n=17, ROI +16%
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 5% of 409)4% (won 0% of 1)13% (won 40% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 41% of 222)13% (won 100% of 3)24% (won 62% of 144)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 115)21% (won 80% of 5)43% (won 74% of 261)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 271)63% (won 100% of 15)20% (won 98% of 119)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbbcvvcbvFlaznorpMD14nigiri99
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $310—Nets $21K
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $1.5K—Nets $18K
Will United States win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $32—Yes $7.3K
Haiti vs. United States: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2—Over $4.5K
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $1.9K—Nuggets $98
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $1.7K—Mavericks $145
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
—Ole Miss $260—Oklahoma $507
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $94—Timberwolves $545
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Providence Friars
opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes
—Providence Friars $125—Colorado Buffaloes $492
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $2—Nets $579
Jets vs. Blackhawks
opposite sides · consensus Blackhawks
—Blackhawks $121—Jets $8
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Gen.G
Gen.G $10K——Gen.G $544
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $431—Heat $9.8K
Florida vs. Kentucky
same side · consensus Kentucky
—Florida $3.0K—Florida $7.0K
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
same side · consensus Arkansas
—Arkansas $637—Arkansas $12
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Oklahoma State
—Texas Tech $374—Texas Tech $177
Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D
same side · consensus Froglings
—1win $10—1win $107
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49—Colts $3
Will Haiti win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $3—Yes $34
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Blackhawks
—Jets $1—Jets $8