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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RN1sainttroplayUpTheBlueswesolyjasiu
Record (consensus markets)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)no settled market50% (19560–19625, n=39185)99% (1864–12, n=1876)
Consensus PnL$14.8M—$3.1M$9.4K
Tracked asPM monthly #24 + pinned—PM monthly #8PM monthly #638
Sides with the consensus66% (138 of 210 open)no open consensus position66% (79 of 119 open)75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%100% of 1432 at avg 99¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 57% of 2538)—7% (won 99% of 2623)0% (won 0% of 4)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 94% of 5565)—21% (won 100% of 7839)0% (won 40% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 99% of 9017)—22% (won 100% of 8452)0% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 100% of 8250)—51% (won 100% of 19323)99% (won 100% of 1422)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

25 on the same side, 35 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRN1sainttroplayUpTheBlueswesolyjasiu
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.5K—Under $21K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $382—Under $7.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3.1K—No $3.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.5K—Under $5.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.4K—Under $3.2K—
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $4.5K—Under $753—
West Ham United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $4.2K—Under $721—
Frosinone Calcio vs. Venezia FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.4K—Under $2.3K—
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-09-09?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $676—No $2.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $7—No $2.6K—
FC København vs. AC Horsens: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.1K—Under $154—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—Athletic Club $223—
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $3—Under $1.9K—
CA Rosario Central vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $535—Under $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $35—Under $1.5K—
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4——Yes $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.3K—Yes $36—
CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $742—Yes $155—
Oregon State vs. Houston: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $686—Under $9—
St Mirren FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3—No $689—
Moreirense FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $509—Under $76—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $162—No $288—
Bratislava 2: Lukas Pokorny vs Toby Samuel
opposite sides · consensus Toby Samuel
Toby Samuel $434—Lukas Pokorny $4—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—Athletic Club $347—
Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club
Al Ahli Saudi Club $8—Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club $250—
Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $13—Under $240—
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $148—Under $98—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $90—No $139—
AZ vs. Willem II Tilburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $4—Under $161—
OGC Nice vs. Le Mans FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $133—No $20—
Will Lyn 1896 FK win on 2026-09-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3—No $134—
Will Central Espanol FC vs. Defensor Sporting end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $84—Yes $40—
Stevenage FC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $76—Under $36—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $28—Under $12—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $20—Over $5—
Will Virtus Entella win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
No $5.6K—No $310—
Will El Gouna SC win on 2026-09-08?
same side · consensus No
No $2.1K—No $3.1K—
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sevilla FC
Sevilla FC $983—Sevilla FC $3.4K—
Spread: Steelers (-14.5)
same side · consensus Browns
Browns $4.2K—Browns $65—
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.5K—Under $841—
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $26—No $2.3K—
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
No $2.1K—No $101—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.1K—Under $931—
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6K—Under $296—
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Abha Saudi Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $498—Under $1.3K—
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
Falcons $1.6K—Falcons $27—
FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.1K—Under $221—
Orgryte IS vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $788—Over $260—
FC København vs. AC Horsens: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $607—Under $367—
Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $783—Under $10—