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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
HyugaPSkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (387–447, n=834)54% (312–261, n=573)50% (7–7, n=14)
Consensus PnL—$509K$425K$656K
Tracked asPM monthly #647PM monthly #19PM monthly #135was PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position51% (28 of 55 open)50% (55 of 110 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 280 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%65% of 504 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%86% of 7 at avg 44¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 100% of 17)14% (won 32% of 72)14% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—38% (won 100% of 105)24% (won 55% of 121)57% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 50–70¢—49% (won 100% of 137)44% (won 69% of 222)29% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up—8% (won 100% of 21)18% (won 98% of 89)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketHyugaPSkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Pacers $20KKnicks $486—
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $7.4KGrizzlies $10K—
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Bulls $13KHawks $3.0K—
Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.3K—
Slovenia vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $10KOver $674—
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Greece
—Greece $10KNetherlands $17—
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $367Under $5.0K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $3.4KGrizzlies $966—
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KOver $585—
Serbia vs. Germany: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.2KUnder $482—
Spread: Houston (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
—Colorado $1.2KHouston $75—
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Knicks $397Pacers $21—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $11KOver $151—
Rangers vs. Canucks
same side · consensus Rangers
—Canucks $11KCanucks $508—
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.4KOver $1.9K—
Netherlands vs. Greece: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5.6KOver $237—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $4.8KOver $308—
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $460Spurs $4.5K—
Scotland vs. North Macedonia: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $4.1KOver $28—
Slovenia vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.6KOver $520—
Bulgaria vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.1KUnder $58—