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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | LlamaLoco0000 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (527–481, n=1008) | 48% (617–662, n=1279) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $370K | $549K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #18 | was PM monthly #568 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (55 of 89 open) | 48% (25 of 52 open) | 0% (0 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 270 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 422 at avg 52¢, ROI +45% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 5) | 5% (won 100% of 23) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 31% (won 100% of 84) | 34% (won 100% of 145) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 161) | 52% (won 100% of 219) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 20) | 8% (won 100% of 35) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | LlamaLoco0000 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas vs. LSU opposite sides · consensus LSU | LSU $219 | Texas $69K | — |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | South Carolina $3.8K | Arkansas $7.3K | — |
| North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.3K | Over $4.4K | — |
| Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines | Nevada Wolf Pack $1.4K | Utah Valley Wolverines $3.7K | — |
| Spread: LSU (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Texas | Texas $3.6K | LSU $30 | — |
| Islanders vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Islanders | Ducks $1.9K | Islanders $1.6K | — |
| North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i opposite sides · consensus North Dakota State | North Dakota State $2.3K | Hawai'i $728 | — |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 39.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $736 | Under $1.0K | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $572 | Under $525 | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $11K | Over $17K | — |
| Spread: LSU (-4.5) same side · consensus LSU | Texas $1.8K | Texas $16K | — |
| Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $13K | Over $174 | — |
| Spread: LSU (-6.5) same side · consensus LSU | LSU $6.3K | LSU $278 | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State same side · consensus Texas Tech | Texas Tech $2.8K | Texas Tech $3.3K | — |
| Utah vs. Arizona: O/U 55.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $3.5K | Over $3 | — |
| Spread: Utah (-2.5) same side · consensus Utah | Utah $603 | Utah $2.4K | — |
| Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5) same side · consensus Hawai'i | Hawai'i $1.4K | Hawai'i $1.6K | — |
| Utah vs. Arizona: O/U 57.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $15 | Under $974 | — |
| Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks same side · consensus Montana Grizzlies | North Dakota Fighting Hawks $277 | North Dakota Fighting Hawks $10 | — |