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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | LlamaLoco0000 | MD14 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (560–514, n=1074) | 48% (641–685, n=1326) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 84% (26–5, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | $410K | $564K | $18K | $341K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #18 | was PM monthly #568 | PM monthly #108 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (51 of 79 open) | 47% (21 of 45 open) | 0% (0 of 15 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 270 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 422 at avg 52¢, ROI +45% | — | 90% of 29 at avg 72¢, ROI +20% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 5) | 5% (won 100% of 23) | — | 3% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 31% (won 100% of 84) | 34% (won 100% of 145) | — | 10% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 161) | 52% (won 100% of 219) | — | 21% (won 83% of 6) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 20) | 8% (won 100% of 35) | — | 66% (won 95% of 19) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | LlamaLoco0000 | MD14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas vs. LSU opposite sides · consensus LSU | LSU $258 | Texas $380K | — | — |
| Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines | Nevada Wolf Pack $1.4K | Utah Valley Wolverines $3.7K | — | — |
| North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $4.1K | Over $843 | — | — |
| Spread: LSU (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Texas | Texas $4.7K | LSU $23 | — | — |
| Flames vs. Kings opposite sides · consensus Kings | Flames $3.6K | Kings $7 | — | — |
| North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i opposite sides · consensus North Dakota State | North Dakota State $2.3K | Hawai'i $676 | — | — |
| Islanders vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Islanders | Ducks $1.2K | Islanders $1.6K | — | — |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 39.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $651 | Under $996 | — | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $12K | Over $19K | — | — |
| Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $9.4K | Over $128 | — | — |
| Utah vs. Arizona: O/U 55.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $4.0K | Over $4 | — | — |
| Spread: Utah (-2.5) same side · consensus Utah | Utah $627 | Utah $2.4K | — | — |
| Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5) same side · consensus Hawai'i | Hawai'i $1.4K | Hawai'i $1.6K | — | — |
| Utah vs. Arizona: O/U 57.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $13 | Under $1.0K | — | — |