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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| GC-P | joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 81% (5744–1338, n=7082) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (1014–591, n=1605) | 47% (14701–16266, n=30967) |
| Consensus PnL | $150K | $5.3M | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #603 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (73 of 107 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (63 of 87 open) | 58% (53 of 91 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 4441 at avg 68¢, ROI +29% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 99% of 262) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 100% of 919) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 100% of 983) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 51% (won 100% of 2277) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
17 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.