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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorppatoche99primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)no settled market50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$3.3M—$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #16was PM monthly #976PM monthly #52PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus64% (169 of 265 open)no open consensus position76% (16 of 21 open)55% (109 of 199 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 1 at avg 7¢, ROI +93%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)100% (won 100% of 1)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)0%41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)0%49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)0%5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

46 on the same side, 36 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorppatoche99primmRN1
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan $333—Eastern Michigan $2.0KCentral Michigan $3.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.5K
Will Club Guarani Asuncion win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $6.1K——Yes $4.8K
Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
——Eastern Michigan $7.5KCentral Michigan $419
Sportivo Ameliano vs. Club Guarani Asuncion: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $5.2K——Over $69
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K——Over $2.4K
Spread: UMass (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
——Ball State $2.8KUMass $358
Spread: Toledo (-27.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
——Toledo $2.4KSacramento State $631
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.9KUnder $3
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $317——No $2.6K
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro
opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
Gonzalo Bueno $1.2K——Eduardo Ribeiro $1.5K
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $196——No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $35
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $2.2K——No $163
M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon
opposite sides · consensus Mauricio Echazu
Maxwell McKennon $823——Mauricio Echazu $1.0K
Spread: Toledo (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
——Toledo $996Sacramento State $524
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $486——No $529
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $977——No $5
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $713——Over $268
Spread: Toledo (-30.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
——Toledo $277Sacramento State $466
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Cavaliers $304——Thunder $273
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $557——Over $6
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
Hawks $237——Wizards $98
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $215——Grizzlies $118
Spread: Ball State (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
——Ball State $202UMass $125
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 214.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $160——Under $131
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Lakers $27——Kings $253
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Suns $124——Trail Blazers $98
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $123——Over $86
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $105——Over $84
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $32——Pacers $139
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $141——Under $2
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $4——Pelicans $126
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
76ers $9——Pistons $109
Will Cúcuta Deportivo FC win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $25——Yes $80
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
same side · consensus Arthur Fils
Arthur Fils $5.6K——Arthur Fils $11K
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold
same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
Nishesh Basavareddy $4.7K——Nishesh Basavareddy $8.2K
Will Metropolitanos FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $4.8K——No $2.6K
Cali: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $1.4K——Bianca Andreescu $3.2K
Will Sportivo Ameliano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $2.5K——No $1.9K
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $3.8K——Under $78
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $3.4KOver $116
Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Camilo Ugo Carabelli $589——Camilo Ugo Carabelli $2.6K
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $2.7K——76ers $240
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $2.6K——No $44
Spread: Toledo (-33.5)
same side · consensus Sacramento State
——Toledo $2.0KToledo $490
Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
Yes $817——Yes $961
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5——Over $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $42——No $1.3K