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RN1Sacramento StateToledoToledoSacramento StateSacramento State Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Sacramento State β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Sacramento State

Spread: Toledo (-30.5)
Resolved Sacramento State. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Sacramento State. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
π
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Sacramento State 60%
Total Value
$768.67
Combined PnL
-$60.5
Smart Money Signal
Sacramento State
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Toledo0%
Sacramento State100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Sacramento State3 traders
Total Value$768.67
Total Shares769
Combined PnL+$320.51
Toledo2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares877
Combined PnL-$381.01
Sacramento State β 60%Toledo β 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() RN1 | Sacramento Stateavg 58.3Β’ | $427.74 | $733.51 | +$305.78 | 53% 60181-52537 (112718) |
PR primmCTR | Toledoavg 42.8Β’ | $324.1 | β | -$324.1 | 47% 1244-1422 (2666) |
JU justaluckydudeCTR<$100 | Toledoavg 33.7Β’ | $56.91 | β | -$56.91 | 53% 11880-10404 (22284) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872<$100 | Sacramento Stateavg 58Β’ | $19.46 | $33.55 | +$14.09 | 56% 7920-6245 (14165) |
US User7429<$100 | Sacramento Stateavg 60.2Β’ | $0.97 | $1.61 | +$0.64 | 56% 8948-7153 (16101) |
RN1Invested
$427.74
Value
$733.51
PnL
+$305.78
Record
53%
60181-52537 (112718)
PR
primmCTRInvested
$324.1
Value
β
PnL
-$324.1
Record
47%
1244-1422 (2666)
JU
justaluckydudeCTR<$100Invested
$56.91
Value
β
PnL
-$56.91
Record
53%
11880-10404 (22284)
0X
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872<$100Invested
$19.46
Value
$33.55
PnL
+$14.09
Record
56%
7920-6245 (14165)
US
User7429<$100Invested
$0.97
Value
$1.61
PnL
+$0.64
Record
56%
8948-7153 (16101)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x36b9083c...cfead7
Slug
cfb-toledo-sacst-2026-11-04-spread-away-30pt5