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Sacramento StateToledo
RN1Sacramento StateToledoSacramento StateSacramento State
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Toledo — but Sacramento State won instead.
Spread: Toledo (-27.5)
Resolved Sacramento State. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Toledo. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Toledo 33%
Total Value
$5.2K
Combined PnL
-$187.76
Smart Money Signal
Toledo
2 of 6 top traders (33%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Toledo0%
Sacramento State100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Sacramento State4 traders
Total Value$5.2K
Total Shares5,239
Combined PnL+$2.6K
Toledo2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares5,484
Combined PnL$-2.8K
Sacramento State — 67%Toledo — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MU Multicoloured-Serf | Sacramento Stateavg 49.2¢ | $2.1K | $4.2K | +$2.2K | 48% 306-333 (639) |
PR primmCTR | Toledoavg 51.1¢ | $2.5K | — | $-2.5K | 47% 1244-1422 (2666) |
RN1 | Sacramento Stateavg 55.6¢ | $536.11 | $963.53 | +$427.42 | 53% 60181-52537 (112718) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR | Toledoavg 46¢ | $230 | — | -$230 | 56% 7920-6245 (14165) |
JU justaluckydude<$100 | Sacramento Stateavg 83.7¢ | $20.59 | $19 | -$1.59 | 53% 11880-10404 (22284) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Sacramento Stateavg 51¢ | $4.76 | $9.33 | +$4.57 | 47% 11225-12583 (23808) |
MU
Multicoloured-SerfInvested
$2,090.4
Value
$4.2K
PnL
+$2.2K
Record
48%
306-333 (639)
PR
primmCTRInvested
$2,544.42
Value
—
PnL
$-2.5K
Record
47%
1244-1422 (2666)
RN1Invested
$536.11
Value
$963.53
PnL
+$427.42
Record
53%
60181-52537 (112718)
0X
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTRInvested
$230
Value
—
PnL
-$230
Record
56%
7920-6245 (14165)
JU
justaluckydude<$100Invested
$20.59
Value
$19
PnL
-$1.59
Record
53%
11880-10404 (22284)
TO
topdogbigboi<$100Invested
$4.76
Value
$9.33
PnL
+$4.57
Record
47%
11225-12583 (23808)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xac58e22c...df8cd0
Slug
cfb-toledo-sacst-2026-11-04-spread-away-27pt5