Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1UpTheBluesvtcchampion52
Record (consensus markets)53% (5701–5137, n=10838)65% (870–459, n=1329)50% (18936–19161, n=38097)45% (258–312, n=570)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$4.2M$3.1M$48K
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #11PM monthly #8PM monthly #369
Sides with the consensus71% (114 of 160 open)74% (25 of 34 open)63% (31 of 49 open)100% (11 of 11 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=945, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −10 pts, n=132——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 40605 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%45% of 531 at avg 44¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 16% of 160)7% (won 99% of 2777)42% (won 3% of 223)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 40% of 253)20% (won 100% of 8217)17% (won 33% of 88)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 57% of 310)22% (won 100% of 8818)13% (won 78% of 69)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 544)51% (won 100% of 20793)28% (won 99% of 151)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1UpTheBluesvtcchampion52
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $420—Under $762—
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $559—Yes $162—
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $42—Yes $670
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $702—Over $5—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $495—Yes $192—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262—Athletic Club $347—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $117—No $288—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $191—Yes $2—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $94—Yes $3—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $43—Yes $45—
CD Tarancón vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $60—Under $4—
Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $46—Yes $3—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $13K—Under $21K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $503—No $16K—
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $6.6K—No $3.3K—
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.6K—Yes $6.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $3.0K—No $2.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Under $1.5K—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $639—Under $2.6K—
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $115—No $3.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $927—Under $2.2K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7K—No $1.2K—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $729—Boluspor $1.5K—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.1K—Yes $161—
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $746—Yes $270—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $97—Under $902—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $163—Under $741—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $304—Under $402—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $654—Over $5—
Spread: Boluspor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Umraniyespor
Umraniyespor $4—Umraniyespor $490—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
CD Pamplona $206—CD Pamplona $10—