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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpPondermintRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)52% (6520–6024, n=12544)67% (423–206, n=629)47% (14133–15621, n=29754)50% (20932–20600, n=41532)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$173K$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #23PM monthly #390PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus70% (280 of 399 open)50% (5 of 10 open)57% (90 of 157 open)70% (32 of 46 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22MLB −2 pts, n=87——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%71% of 485 at avg 71¢, ROI +2%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 11% of 63)10% (won 57% of 2538)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)11% (won 35% of 52)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)12% (won 63% of 56)36% (won 99% of 9017)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)65% (won 90% of 314)33% (won 100% of 8250)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

82 on the same side, 45 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpPondermintRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.5KUnder $22K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K—Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $9—Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $586—Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36Under $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476—Under $1.3KUnder $64
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $138—Yes $192No $249
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7—Over $29Under $12
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $176—Under $42Under $796
Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $8.2K—Yes $66—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2.5K—Over $3.9K—
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
Daniel Milavsky $723—Max Hans Rehberg $4.3K—
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
opposite sides · consensus Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard $2.3K—Dalibor Svrcina $1.8K—
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.8K—Over $2—
W35 Orlando, FL: Lavinia Tanasie vs Whitney Osuigwe
opposite sides · consensus Whitney Osuigwe
Whitney Osuigwe $2.1K—Lavinia Tanasie $5—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $218
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
opposite sides · consensus Julia Riera
Julia Riera $1.3K—Renata Zarazua $482—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.3K—Under $305—
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $847—Over $725—
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 2 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $813—Yes $224—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466—No $529—
Will Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $340—No $585—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $758Yes $130
Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 0 - 1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $682—Yes $91—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $596——Yes $154
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen
opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen
Greet Minnen $686—Lisa Pigato $48—
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $78—Yes $640—
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $554—Yes $125—
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $6—Over $502—
Kuopion PS vs. KAA Gent: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $259—Under $151—
AFC Bournemouth leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $283—Yes $20—
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $279—Over $13—
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
Julio Cesar Porras $23—Ivan Gakhov $225—
W50 Huamantla: Sofia Johnson vs Jessica Hinojosa Gomez
opposite sides · consensus Sofia Johnson
Jessica Hinojosa Gomez $23—Sofia Johnson $213—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $172
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $176—Over $7—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $132——Yes $3
W50 Huamantla: Jo-Yee Chan vs Cadence Brace
opposite sides · consensus Cadence Brace
Cadence Brace $60—Jo-Yee Chan $36—
Mjällby AIF vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $55—Under $29—
FC Thun vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $62—Under $4—
Exact Score: Lillestrøm SK 0 - 0 FC Viktoria Plzeň?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $13—Yes $4—
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 0 - 0 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $11—Yes $4—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $31K—Under $2.8K—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16K—Yes $11K—
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $22K—No $1.8K—