Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score
Resolved No. 41% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
17
Yes 50%
$9.0K
$712.6
Smart Money Signal
7 of 17 top traders (41%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RN1 | Noavg 62¢ | $4.8K | $7.5K | +$2.7K | 53% 61386-53697 (115083) |
LI Limousin | Noavg 42.5¢ | $262.08 | $617.08 | +$355 | 53% 1439-1280 (2719) |
TO topdogbigboi | Noavg 64¢ | $256 | $400 | +$144 | 47% 11740-13459 (25199) |
MA MadridTime | Noavg 44.2¢ | $106.88 | $239.25 | +$132.37 | 50% 1337-1318 (2655) |
VE Venusian | Noavg 42.2¢ | $65.42 | $155 | +$89.58 | 51% 1392-1360 (2752) |
LU LuckyLoo<$100 | Noavg 35.4¢ | $27.27 | $77.13 | +$49.86 | 49% 14716-15388 (30104) |
SE sentrio<$100 | Noavg 35.2¢ | $8.2 | $23.29 | +$15.09 | 50% 25837-25546 (51383) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Yesavg 53.1¢ | $599.45 | $5.22 | -$210.58 | 48% 61202-65999 (127201) |
 VeryLucky888CTR | Yesavg 62.6¢ | $310.82 | $0.01 | -$30.88 | 58% 46718-33677 (80395) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Yesavg 14.1¢ | $5.4K | — | +$3.2K | 51% 25776-24479 (50255) |
DA darkumbreon88CTR | Yesavg 63¢ | $104.26 | — | -$104.26 | 64% 1962-1092 (3054) |
LO lonmi2511<$100 | Noavg 37.8¢ | $7.96 | — | +$13.11 | 55% 1362-1132 (2494) |
 alpheclabs2 | Noavg 52.5¢ | $847.35 | — | +$766.41 | 47% 1238-1414 (2652) |
 ThePhantasmagoriaCTR | Yesavg 37.6¢ | $18.6K | — | $-7.0K | — 7-7 (14) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Yesavg 46.2¢ | $2.41 | — | -$2.41 | 52% 1388-1305 (2693) |
0X 0x17bec72f65b07cacd12000a0ba0ba162b6b7c52bCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | — 3-0 (3) |
SL SlickRick123 | Noavg 51¢ | $612 | — | +$588 | 48% 5445-5956 (11401) |
RN1Invested
$4,772.99
Value
$7.5K
PnL
+$2.7K
Record
53%
61386-53697 (115083)
Invested
$262.08
Value
$617.08
PnL
+$355
Record
53%
1439-1280 (2719)
Invested
$256
Value
$400
PnL
+$144
Record
47%
11740-13459 (25199)
Invested
$106.88
Value
$239.25
PnL
+$132.37
Record
50%
1337-1318 (2655)
Invested
$65.42
Value
$155
PnL
+$89.58
Record
51%
1392-1360 (2752)
Invested
$27.27
Value
$77.13
PnL
+$49.86
Record
49%
14716-15388 (30104)
Invested
$8.2
Value
$23.29
PnL
+$15.09
Record
50%
25837-25546 (51383)
Invested
$599.45
Value
$5.22
PnL
-$210.58
Record
48%
61202-65999 (127201)
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$310.82
Value
$0.01
PnL
-$30.88
Record
58%
46718-33677 (80395)
Invested
$5,405.38
Value
—
PnL
+$3.2K
Record
51%
25776-24479 (50255)
Invested
$104.26
Value
—
PnL
-$104.26
Record
64%
1962-1092 (3054)
Invested
$7.96
Value
—
PnL
+$13.11
Record
55%
1362-1132 (2494)
alpheclabs2Invested
$847.35
Value
—
PnL
+$766.41
Record
47%
1238-1414 (2652)
ThePhantasmagoriaCTRInvested
$18,632.65
Value
—
PnL
$-7.0K
Record
—
7-7 (14)
Invested
$2.41
Value
—
PnL
-$2.41
Record
52%
1388-1305 (2693)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
—
3-0 (3)
Invested
$612
Value
—
PnL
+$588
Record
48%
5445-5956 (11401)